Modeling Journey

While Liberals lag in both categories, according to the latest EKOS poll.

The Tories have 35.5% of the 45-64 age group (Liberals 31.1%), and a sizeable majority of those over 65 (44.2% to the Liberals' 28.9%).

Harper's party also enjoys a sizeable majority of male support (36.3%) over Ignatieff's Liberals (29.9%), while both parties are essentially even amongst females. The Tory appeal to men is even more pronounced in Ontario (42.9% to 34.0%).

This poll shows that the traditional Liberal edge amongst women, which dissipated recently, is still missing, which is bad news for our party with an election probable in November after a no-confidence motion is passed in early October.

Clearly, any Liberal policy needs to address the concerns of retired folk (especially in BC), and women (across the country).