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Monday, 27 October 2008
2008 US Electoral College and State Polls Breakdown
CNN is the most Conservative calling 277 electoral college votes for Obama. Electoral-vote.com is the most confident predicting 375. Either way an Obama win is likely as 270 are required to win the White House. There will be a lot of focus on the national polls over the next week, but this formula is the only one that matters. The US election is decided by electoral college votes and not the overall popular vote. This is how Bush was able to win in 2000 despite having less total votes. Like in Canada, national polls do not matter unless you factor them into seat counts. The three sites below factor state polling into their projections.
-Darryl
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5