Modeling Journey

First poll I have seen on the coalition...37% support for it...not 64% as claimed

Based on this poll, I cannot see a mandate for Dion. 64% oppose him despite the fact Conservatives gained 37% support in the last election. Only 37% support the coalition well short of the 64% "super majority" propaganda we are seeing from opposition partisans. A clear majority are concerned about the Bloc in the coalition. 37% would prefer another election - the same number as supported the Tories in the last election. I cannot see how Stephane Dion could serve and take questions in the House of Commons as the Prime Minister based on his personal lack of support across all parties and weak support for this coalition in general. More analysis here.
-Darryl

POLL: CANADIANS SPLIT ON COALITION

35% think Tories deserve to stay in power; 40% don't

37% want a coalition to take over if Tories fail

32% prefer to have another election

25% are 'comfortable' with Dion as PM; 64% are not

57% are 'worried' about Bloc role in government

75% back economic stimulus ASAP

Source: Angus Reid Strategies and the Toronto Star

Prime Ministers in Recent History and their Vote Percentages

Chretien - 1993 41.3%
Chretien - 1997 38.5%
Chretien - 2000 40.8%
Martin - 2003 36.7%
Harper - 2008 39%

Dion – 2009? 26%

Opposition parties will have a very difficult time arguing Dion has the confidence of Canadians given that he has never been elected, his support level would be the lowest for a Canadian Prime Minister in its history and poll numbers (from the Toronto Star) indicate anything but wide spread support for this coalition idea.