Showing posts with label Federal Election Campaign. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Federal Election Campaign. Show all posts

Tuesday, 10 November 2009


25 ridings the Conservatives should target for a Majority

After last night's by-election, the Conservatives now hold 145 seats in the House of Commons. Assuming that the Conservatives could hold all of them (and that is a big assumption), here is 20 ridings the Conservatives should target to win a majority. Right now 10 more would be required to win that majority government. Current polls have shown Tory support ranging from 37-41%. The percentage is important, but ultimately in Canadian politics it comes down to seats. These targeted seats assume no breakthrough in Toronto and Montreal. 17 of these seats are currently held by Liberals, 6 by the NDP, 1 by the Bloc and 1 is an independent. Obviously there are a lot of close ridings the Conservatives won as well.

If current polls hold and Conservative MPs ensure re-election, 10 out of 25 of these ridings would be a majority government. In 1984, Brian Mulroney won 211 seats and over 50% of the vote. Stephen Harper currently holds 145 seats our of 308.

North

1. Yukon

Conservative Darrell Pasloski lost by less than 2000 votes in the last election while turnout increased and the Liberal vote decreased. The seat is currently held by Liberal Larry Bagnell. If former Yukon Party Cabinet Minister Brad Cathers runs for the Tories, the race might be close. Harper has made a big push in the North since winning government. Hopefully some of that Palin magic in Alaska crosses the border and energizes Conservatives in Yukon as well.

2. Western Arctic

Currently held by NDP Dennis Bevington, this riding is very winnable for the Conservatives especially with Harper's focus on the North. Last time Bevington got 5669 votes compared to Conservative Brendan Bell's 5146. Liberals were a distant third with 1858 votes. This time former Premier Joe Handley is running for the Liberals potentially opening up a strong three way race.

BC

3. Burnaby - Douglas

Currently held by NDP Bill Siksay, in 2008 this election was close with the NDP getting 37.94% of the vote compared to the CPC 36.25% Who is able to take the more of the Liberal 19.4% could make the difference in this riding. Ronald Leung ran for the Conservatives in 2008.

4. Vancouver South

Former NDP Premier and Liberal Star candidate Ujjal Dosanjh only defeated the Conservatives by 22 votes in the last election. Wai Young represented the Conservatives in 2008.

5. Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca

Keith Martin's riding. Last time he won by 68 votes against Conservative Troy DeSouza. Would love to see Martin cross the floor and get back in the fold. Otherwise this will likely be a close race again. Keith Martin was a former Reform/Canadian Alliance MP between 1993-2003 and is personally popular in his riding.

Alberta

6. Edmonton-Strathcona

NDP Linda Duncan upset Rahim Jaffer in the last election breaking up the Conservative Alberta sweep. Ryan Hastman will try and take it back in the next election. In 2008 the NDP took 42.5% of the vote compared to the Conservative 41.6%. Getting this riding back is probably priority one for the Conservatives.

Saskatchewan

7. Wascana

Ralph Goodale defeated Conservative Michelle Hunter by less than 5000 votes. Still a long shot, but this is the final red seat in the province. Goodale is winning this riding on personal popularity despite his party affiliation.

Manitoba:

8. Elmwood - Transcona

Winnipeg Jets legend Thomas Steen lost this riding by less than 2000 votes. NDP Jim Maloway is the incumbent here. Would love to see Steen take another shot at the goal.

9. Winnipeg South Centre

Conservatives held their convention in Winnipeg recently. Anita Neville won last time by less than 2000 votes and is the final Liberal in Manitoba. Trevor Kennerd ran for the Conservatives last time.

Ontario:

10. Ajax-Pickering:

Conservative star candidate Chris Alexander will face off against Mark Holland in the GTA. Will that be enough to make up the 3000 vote difference? This could be a huge win for the Conservatives in Ontario on the border of Toronto 416.

11. Brampton Springdale


Rudy Dhalla held this riding by just over 700 votes in 2008. She is a big target I am sure and Parm Gill has been working this riding like crazy. This riding is highly likely to go blue in the next election.

12: Brampton West

While everyone has been paying attention to Ruby Dhalla in Brampton Springdale, quietly Kyle Seeback was about 500 votes from Liberal MP Andrew Kania. This is probably even more likely to go blue than Brampton Springdale.

13. Richmond Hill

Conservatives made some big gains in the last election in York Region picking up Newmarket-Aurora, Oakridges-Markham and Thornhill. At one time this riding was represented provincially by Frank Klees and in 2008 the race was a lot closer with Liberal MP Bryon Wilfert fighting to keep his seat. A star candidate could easily close the 5000 vote margin here if current polls hold steady.

14. Mississauga South

Liberal MP Paul Szabo won by about 2000 votes in this GTA riding. Mississauga will be very competitive with the right Conservative candidates in the next election.

15. Welland

A rare tight three way battle where in the last election the NDP took 33% of the vote, Conservatives 32% and the Liberals 28%. NDP MPP Peter Kormos holds the seat provincially and NDP MP
Malcolm Allenis the current incumbent.

16. Kingston and the Islands

If speaker Peter Milliken ever retired, this riding would go blue and is surrounded by blue. Like Wascana in Saskatchewan, Milliken is holding this riding on personal popularity.

17. Guelph
Liberal MP Frank Valeriote had 18,977 votes, CPC candidate Gloria Kovach won 17, 185 votes and Green candidate Mike Nagy finished third with 12,456 votes. The Green vote is the wildcard here.

18. Nipissing - Timiskaming

Northern Ontario should have strong potential for the Conservatives but right now it is largely dominated by the NDP. In Nipissing - Timiskaming Anthony Rota beat Conservative Joe Sinicrope by just over 5000 votes. In 2008 we saw an upset in Kenora. Is Nipissing - Timiskaming next? I believe Northern Ontario would be a good place to grow the Conservative base and build on our organizational strength. There is great potential for competitive three way races if time and resources are dedicated to the cause.

New Brunswick
:

19. Moncton - Riverview - Dieppe

Current Liberal MP Brian Murphy beat Conservative Daniel Allain by just over 1000 votes. Closest riding in New Brunswick for the Conservatives to pick up.

Prince Edward Island:

20. Malpeque

1000 votes separated the Liberals and Conservatives last time. Wayne Easter would be a big target for Conservatives. Can Mike Duffy make the difference here? In 2008 Conservatives broke into PEI in the Egmont riding.

Newfoundland

21. Avalon 22. St. John's East 23. St. John's South-Mount Pearl

All three of these ridings were held by the Conservative Party and lost in the 2008 election. Is Danny Williams still a factor? Will Newfoundland want to be shut out of the federal government? St. John's South-Mount Pearl is the best chance. Turnout in the last election was low in Newfoundland despite the ABC campaign.

Quebec

24. Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier

Would love to see independent MP Andre Arthur formally join the Conservative caucus. He generally votes with the party and in the last election Conservatives did not run a candidate against him. He is in a close race and his personality would be an asset to the Conservative cause in Quebec. Arthur is a libertarian.

25. Louis-Hébert

Conservative MP Luc Harvey dropped the seat to current Bloc MP
Pascal-Pierre Paillé. Could the Conservatives win this one back?


By-election Analysis

Last night four by-elections took place in BC, Quebec and Nova Scotia. In general it is never a good idea to get too excited about by-election results, nonetheless they do mean something and can have large implications.

In March of 2009 in the riding of Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock, John Tory was upset by Rick Johnson in a by-election in the province of Ontario. Tory had just come off of a strong convention, was PC Party leader and ran in a riding that was considered safe for the blue side following Laurie Scott's decision to step down to allow the leader a seat in the Legislature. Tory was defeated and resigned as leader the next day. Today Tim Hudak is party leader and a recent poll has his party leading in the Province of Ontario.

Federally in 2008 Rob Clarke won in Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River after local Liberals found themselves in a feud with David Orchard during the nomination process. In 2007 Thomas Mulcair pulled off an upset in Outremont and Denis Lebel won in Roberval—Lac-Saint-Jean. All three still hold their seats today. Since the beginning of the 38th parliament in 2004, there have been ten by-elections federally. Only 3 or 30% changed party representation heading into last night. All MPs elected in by-elections since 2000 remain in the House of Commons today except Raymond Gravel a former Bloc MP. Some pundits think of by-elections as flash in the pan protest votes however vidence since 2004 shows that not to be the case. It is quite possible that all incumbents elected last night will hold their seats in the next general election whenever it occurs.

After last night there is spin coming from all sides but the results speak for themselves. The Conservatives picked up two seats and are now ten shy of a majority. The Bloc lost a seat and held another. The NDP held a seat in BC. The Liberals were not even in the game in any of these by-elections. Current standings have the Conservatives with 145 seats, Liberals 77, NDP 37 and Bloc 48. Andre Arthur is an independent but the Conservatives did not run a candidate against him in the 2008 election and he generally votes with the Conservatives as a self described libertarian. Following these by-elections only the Conservatives have gained seats and only the Bloc has lost a seat since the last general election. The Liberals and the NDP remain status quo.

In each of the ridings there was also some interesting messages. While results in New Westminster—Coquitlam, Hochelaga and Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley were widely expected, the upset in Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup is notable.
The fact the Liberals were not contenders in any of the by-elections and showed worse than Dion in three of the ridings has to be of concern to Liberal strategists. Clearly there is not much momentum for Ignatieff in BC despite the Liberal convention in Vancouver. The same can be said about Quebec where there was talk of big Liberal breakthroughs a few months ago. In Atlantic Canada - usually a considered a Liberal stronghold, the NDP finished second this time. The NDP also finished second in Montreal repeatng some of that Outremont magic. There is no way to spin that as positive for Liberals and there is a reason why Ignatieff, Kinsella and Liblogs have been silent today about these results. The NDP on the other hand have good reason to celebrate their results last night but let's not go to far. Even if they steal a few seats away from the Liberals in the next election, how satisified will the left be with a Conservative majority? Ten ridings is not that big of a hurdle now.

Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup had not seen Conservative representation since 1993 when PC MP André Plourde was defeated by Paul Crête who resigned to run in the provincial electon only to be defeated by Charest Liberal Jean D'Amour in that contest. Prior to that former ADQ leader Mario Dumont represented the riding from 1994 until March of 2009. Personally I always wanted Dumont to run for the federal Conservatives, but yesterday a new star was found in former La Pocatière mayor Bernard Généreux who pulled off the upset. Pundits and polls dismissed the Conservatives in Quebec. The coalition, ADQ demise, culture cuts, relations with Charest, gun registry and economy all proved theories false that the Conservative support had NOT evaporated in the province. This type of rural Quebec riding is exactly the type of riding Tories need to target in order to build the coalition required for a majority. Harper now at least has hope for future Quebec gains. Despite writing Harper off, the BQ once again find themselves in a fight with the Conservatives in rural Quebec and Quebec City while at the same time they are fighting a different battle with the Liberals and NDP in the Montreal area of Quebec.

In the 2008 election in Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley, Bill Casey deserved to be re-elected for standing up for constituents despite being expelled from the Conservative caucus. I like MPs with courage and an independent streak. Having said that, it is great news that Conservative Rob Armstrong easily won the riding following Casey's decision to retire as an MP after former Nova Scotia Premier Rodney MacDonald announced that Casey would be the senior representative for the Department of Intergovernmental Affairs in Ottawa for the province. In New Westminster—Coquitlam Conservatives finished a strong second to a strong NDP candidate in Fin Donnelly replacing Dawn Black. The HST and salmon issue proved to be winners in BC allowing the NDP to hold the seat. Even in the Montreal area riding of Hochelaga there was some positive news for Harper. Conservatives gained their share of the vote by 1%. The Liberal vote dropped 6% while the NDP increased 5% allowing them to finish second. There was less than 1000 votes difference between the Liberals and Conservatives. There was less than 2000 votes difference between the NDP and Conservatives. To be fair all three have a long way to go in order to defeat the Bloc who carried 51.2% of total votes. With that said, there doesn't seem to be much difference between Conservative and Liberal support in a riding close to the Montreal Liberal fortress.

Overall it was a good night for Conservatives and the NDP. A bad day for the Bloc Quebecois and Liberals. Bottom line is that the Conservatives are now two seats closer to that majority government. Liberals have clearly not gained any momentum with Ignatieff from where they were under Dion. I have seen a lot of Liberal spin that these by-elections do not matter and no one expected them to win. That may be true but if Dalton McGuinty would have taken that attitude in a recent by-election perhaps John Tory would still be leader and in Queen's Park grilling his government on eHealth today. At some point if Liberals want to win government, you have to gain seats in ridings where you cannot see the CN Tower. Right now the Liberal Party does not look very strong outside of the most urban ridings in Toronto, Vancouver and Montreal. On the flip side a Conservative majority is so close you can taste it.

Congratulations to Scott Armstrong, Bernard Généreux , Daniel Paillé and Fit Donnelly for their victories last night!

Tuesday, 27 January 2009


Full text of Flaherty's federal budget speech

Updated Tue. Jan. 27 2009 4:36 PM ET

Text of Finance Minister Jim Flaherty's budget speech in the House of Commons on Tuesday:

It is Canada's plan to stimulate our economy, to protect Canadians during the global recession, and to invest in our long-term growth.

It is Canada's response to the challenge of our time.

The crisis we face

Since last fall, the global economic situation has deteriorated further, and faster, than anyone predicted.

The global economy has weakened since Canadians voted in the election last October.

It has weakened further since Parliament met last month.

As the crisis emerged, our government took immediate action to ensure Canadian businesses could get the financing they need to reinvest, grow and maintain jobs.

But developments since then require further action.

Canadians are feeling the effects of the global recession, and they are concerned.

They are concerned about their jobs and their savings.

They are concerned about their families, their businesses, and their communities.

Our government has listened to these concerns.

We have consulted Canadians, and we have found among them a remarkable degree of consensus.

From Corner Brook to Kamloops, from Iqaluit to Kitchener, Canadians agree.

We must do what it takes to keep our economy moving, and to protect Canadians in this extraordinary time.

Making new investments is more challenging in such a time; but it is also more necessary than ever.

Canada's Economic Action Plan

Today we present Canada's Economic Action Plan.

It is our plan to protect Canadians during the global recession, to create new, good jobs for the future, and to equip our country for success in the years ahead.

  • In Canada's Economic Action Plan we are helping families and stimulating consumer spending.

We are providing additional tax relief, especially for lower- and middle income Canadians.

This will put more money in the hands of Canadian families, to help them weather the current storm, and to help stimulate our economy.

  • In Canada's Economic Action Plan we are helping those hit hardest by the global recession.

We are providing extra support to Canadians who lose their jobs.

We are strengthening Employment Insurance benefits and expanding skills-training opportunities.

  • In Canada's Economic Action Plan we are protecting jobs and supporting businesses.

We are supporting Canadian industries in difficulty, and the families and communities that depend on them for work.

We are helping these industries -- including forestry, manufacturing, tourism, agriculture, fisheries and the automotive industry -- to find long-term solutions to the challenges they face.

And we are providing additional support for businesses and industries that play a unique role in Canada's regional economies.

  • In Canada's Economic Action Plan we are ensuring access to financing for businesses, and the stability of our financial system.

We are providing new ways for businesses to get the financing they need, to innovate, expand and create new jobs for Canadians.

And we are establishing the means to ensure consistent regulation in financial markets across Canada.

  • In Canada's Economic Action Plan we are taking immediate action to build infrastructure.

We are launching one of the largest building projects in Canada's history.

In the next few months, we will start construction of roads, bridges, public transit, broadband Internet access, schools and social housing, in every region of the country.

We will create jobs for Canadians now, while providing the infrastructure Canada needs to grow in the years to come.

Meeting short-term needs while serving long-term goals

In response to the global recession, the industrialized countries of the world are taking unprecedented action to inject money into their economies.

Our government will spend what is necessary to stimulate our economy, and we will invest what is necessary to protect our future prosperity.

To finance Canada's Economic Action Plan, our government is making a deliberate choice to run a substantial short-term deficit.

This temporary deficit is an investment which is necessary to stimulate our economy.

It allows us to meet our short-term needs while serving our long-term goals.

The United States and many countries in Europe are in a much more difficult position.

Having entered the recession after years of heavy deficits, the massive deficits they are undertaking now will continue for many years.

Canada has the freedom to respond effectively to the current crisis, without putting our long-term prosperity at risk.

In fact, the situation provides an opportunity to speed up investments that are necessary for our future growth and quality of life.

Canadians can be proud of this.

Together we made the right choices when times were good.

And now, when times are difficult, together we can continue moving forward with confidence.

Economic and fiscal projections

As a result of the global recession, we expect the Canadian economy to contract by 0.8 per cent over the next year.

This means that tax revenues will decrease.

At the same time, we will need to spend more to protect our economy and help Canadians hit hardest by the global recession.

This in turn means that a temporary deficit cannot be avoided.

As a result, our government projects a budget deficit of $34-billion for the next fiscal year; and $30-billion the year after that.

With the participation of our provincial partners, the stimulus provided in Canada's Economic Action Plan represents 1.9 per cent of our economy for the next fiscal year; and for the year after that, 1.4 per cent.

Not only does this fulfill Canada's commitment at the G20 leaders' summit in November.

It exceeds the target recommended by the International Monetary Fund.

The stimulus initiatives in Canada's Economic Action Plan are for this year and the next.

There will be no long-running or permanent deficit.

Our plan includes tax relief that is permanent but affordable over the long-term.

As the economy recovers, we fully expect to emerge from deficit and return to surplus within five years.

We will use future surpluses first of all to pay off the debt incurred during the recession.

By 2011 we project the deficit will fall to $13-billion; by 2012 it will fall to $7.3-billion.

By 2013 we project a return to surplus -- for that year, a surplus of $700-million.

In spite of these temporary deficits, by the end of our program our total government net debt as a share of the economy will still be the lowest in the G7, by a wide margin.

While our projections are based on the best information available, we cannot guarantee them absolutely.

Forecasters all agree that there is substantial uncertainty; so some flexibility is advisable.

If circumstances require it, our government will consider enhancements to the measures in Canada's Economic Action Plan.

Canadians regret the need to run a deficit in order to invest in our economy.

Our government shares that regret.

We have chosen this course because it is necessary, and because we know it will be temporary.

But we have chosen it also because we know it is what Canadian families and businesses need.

In Canada's Economic Action Plan, our government is taking action to help.

We are taking action to protect Canadians during the global recession, to stimulate our economy, and to invest in our long-term prosperity.

1. Action to help families and stimulate consumer spending

Since first coming into office, our government has provided substantial tax relief to Canadian families.

This has given families more freedom to meet their needs.

It has provided, and is continuing to provide, both short- and long-term stimulus to our economy.

In these difficult times, tax relief is more necessary than ever.

It is necessary to help families.

And it is necessary to help keep our economy moving.

That is why Canada's Economic Action Plan includes additional tax relief for Canadians.

Personal income tax relief to stimulate consumer spending

Canada's Economic Action Plan provides immediate benefits, especially to low- and middle-income Canadians.

Effective January 1, 2009, we will increase the basic personal amount.

This means that a greater portion of Canadians' earnings will not be subject to federal income tax.

Effective January 1, 2009, we will also increase the upper limit of the two lowest personal income tax brackets.

This means that a greater portion of Canadians' earnings will be taxed at a lower rate.

And we will increase the amount that families can earn while still receiving the National Child Benefit supplement and the Canada Child Tax Benefit.

As a result of these changes, a single parent with two children earning $35,000 will be ahead $500 per year.

A two-income couple with two children earning $70,000 will be ahead $275 per year.

This tax relief will help low- and middle-income Canadians, and it will stimulate consumer spending.

This in turn will help stimulate our entire economy.

To provide additional help to low-income Canadians, we will also increase the Working Income Tax Benefit, or WITB.

Many low-income Canadians, especially those receiving social assistance, would like to take a job.

But they face disincentives, in the form of higher taxes and reduced benefits.

The WITB supplements the earnings of low-income workers to help ensure they are better off by taking a job.

Our increase to the WITB will effectively double the tax relief this measure provides.

We expect that for the 2009 tax year more than 1.5-million individuals and families -- many of them single women with children -- will benefit as a result.

In Canada's Economic Action Plan we will also provide further tax relief for Canadian seniors.

We will increase the Age Credit amount by an additional $1,000.

This will provide each eligible senior additional savings of up to $150 per year.

But more is needed to help our seniors.

The global financial crisis has caused them added worry, as they see the effect on their retirement savings.

To provide some relief, we will reduce the amount seniors are required to withdraw from their registered retirement income funds, or RRIFs, by 25 per cent for 2008.

This will provide one-time tax relief of $200 million for Canadian seniors.

The personal income tax relief in Canada's Economic Action Plan will put more money in the hands of Canadian families.

Most important, this year and over the next five years these measures will inject approximately $20-billion in stimulus into the Canadian economy.

Employment Insurance payroll taxes

Canadian workers benefit from relatively low payroll taxes.

This allows them to keep more of what they earn; and it encourages businesses to create more jobs.

We need to keep these taxes low, especially during this difficult period.

For many families, right now every dollar counts.

For many businesses, an increase in payroll taxes would make it harder to sustain existing jobs.

And so, in Canada's Economic Action Plan we will freeze Employment Insurance payroll taxes for the next two years.

Home construction and home renovation

For the Canadian economy, the home construction and home renovation industries are major sources of jobs and growth.

To encourage home ownership and home construction, we will increase the amount first-time homebuyers can withdraw from their RRSPs to purchase or build a home -- from $20,000 to $25,000.

We will establish a First-time Homebuyers' Tax Credit, saving Canadians up to $750 on closing costs in buying a new home.

And, to stimulate spending and to help Canadians invest in the long-term value of their homes, we will provide a temporary Home Renovation Tax Credit.

Effective tomorrow and extending until January 31, 2010, this measure will provide tax relief for home renovation costs -- saving Canadian families up to $1,350 each on their 2009 taxes.

The Home Renovation Tax Credit is available for renovations to the house or the cottage, for everything from a new furnace to energy-efficient windows to a new deck.

It may be claimed in addition to support from the existing ecoENERGY Retrofit program, and the Medical Expense Tax Credit.

These measures to support home construction and renovation will help stimulate our construction and building-supplies industries.

This in turn will support forestry and other Canadian industries.

The tax relief provided in Canada's Economic Action Plan will encourage long-term economic growth.

It will help working families manage the effects of the recession.

It will give an immediate boost to our economy, and help to create jobs.

2. Action to help Canadians hit hardest by the global recession

The global recession has begun to make things difficult for many Canadian workers and their families.

Some have lost their jobs; more, we fear, will lose their jobs.

In Canada's Economic Action Plan we are taking action to help.

Employment Insurance benefits

Many Canadians who find themselves out of work will look to Employment Insurance to help make ends meet.

They will need greater support in this time of recession.

During the next two years, we will extend maximum EI benefits by five weeks, bringing the total to a maximum of 50 weeks.

This will give EI recipients more time to get the extra training they need and to find the right job.

We will extend work-sharing arrangements by an additional 14 weeks, to help employers avoid layoffs and to keep Canadians working.

We will provide better protection for workers whose employers go bankrupt.

We will provide special assistance to long-tenured workers in transition.

And we will establish an expert panel to advise on the best way to provide maternal and paternal EI benefits to self-employed Canadians.

This will be of special benefit to many Canadian women and families with young children.

Skills development and youth employment

Beyond this, we need to help Canadians who are out of work to find new, good jobs.

And for that, we need to increase our investment in skills development.

In Canada's Economic Action Plan we will provide new opportunities for short- and long-term skills upgrading.

This will include targeted programs for apprentices and for older workers;

  • additional support for skills development and training for Aboriginal Canadians;
  • and new investments to create job opportunities for Aboriginal Canadians.

We will also provide support for workers who do not qualify for EI benefits.

In the coming weeks, we will also announce a major, new youth summer job initiative.

3. Action to protect jobs and support businesses

The global recession has affected not only families, but also Canadian businesses.

Many Canadian businesses are in a relatively strong position, compared to their foreign competitors.

As a result of our government's actions, by 2010 Canada will have the lowest overall tax rate on new business investment in the G7.

But Canadians have agreed that we need to do more.

We need to do more to encourage long-term growth.

We need to help sustain Canadian jobs and to help all Canadian businesses to weather the current storm.

Support for industries in distress

Some sectors of our economy are facing special difficulties.

These are industries on which hundreds of thousands of Canadian families depend for their livelihood, on which many communities and regions depend for their vitality.

To help meet this challenge, in Canada's Economic Action Plan we are creating a two-year, $1-billion Community Adjustment Fund.

The Fund will support economic diversification in communities affected by distress or decline in their local industries.

This will help communities across Canada facing unique challenges, from the mountain pine beetle infestation to the declining global demand for seafood.

Our government is also taking action to help sustain key sectors of the Canadian economy.

In Canada's Economic Action Plan we will provide additional support for our forestry industry.

Over the next two years, we will support the industry in developing new products and processes, and in seizing new opportunities in the international marketplace.

We will invest new funds over the next five years to help Canadian farmers to innovate, to increase competitiveness, and to achieve greater environmental sustainability.

We will support Canada's shipyards, through the procurement of 98 new Coast Guard vessels and repairs to 40 of our aging vessels.

We will extend the Mineral Exploration Tax Credit by one year, to help mining companies raise capital for exploration.

We will provide new support for the promotion of Canadian heritage and culture, through events and exhibitions, national parks and heritage sites, broadcasting and community newspapers, the arts, tourism and sport.

And to help all Canadian industries to reduce their impact on the environment, we will establish a new Clean Energy Fund.

We expect this funding will generate more than $2.5-billion in investments such as carbon capture and storage, over the next five years.

Regional economic development

Our government will also continue to foster economic development in the regions of Canada most vulnerable in any downturn.

We will increase funding available to the regional development bodies for Atlantic Canada, Quebec and Western Canada.

And, for the first time, we will provide support for regional economic development across the Province of Ontario.

While continuing our support for Northern and Eastern Ontario, we will provide $1 billion over the next five years to establish a new Southern Ontario Development Agency.

And we will invest $50-million over the next five years to establish a new regional economic development agency for Canada's North.

Tax relief for businesses

To continue growing and creating jobs, Canadian businesses must be free to reinvest.

In our last two budgets, our government temporarily accelerated the Capital Cost Allowance treatment of investments in machinery and equipment.

This has allowed manufacturers to restructure and retool their operations, to remain competitive in the global economy.

In Canada's Economic Action Plan, we will extend the 50-per-cent straight-line accelerated CCA rate, by two years.

We will also provide a temporary, 100-per cent CCA depreciation rate for eligible computer hardware and software acquired over the next two years.

Our government has already provided permanent tax relief to Canadian small businesses.

We increased the amount of income eligible for the small-business tax rate, from $300,000 to $400,000.

In Canada's Economic Action Plan, we will increase that amount again, from $400,000 to $500,000.

The result of all these measures will be greater freedom for Canadian businesses to create jobs and growth in communities across the country.

They will be better able to sustain jobs during the global recession, and to expand opportunities for Canadians in the years to come.

4. Action to ensure access to financing for businesses, and stability in our financial system

The global financial crisis requires that we take further action to support Canadian families and businesses.

The crisis in the United States financial system has sent shock waves around the world.

Canadian financial institutions have been less willing to lend.

Families with a good credit history find it difficult to get a lease for a new car.

Well-run businesses find it harder to finance the purchase of new machinery.

This shortage of financing can make a difficult economic situation much worse.

Our government took action to increase access to financing when the global crisis emerged in the fall.

Because the situation has continued to deteriorate, our government is taking additional action.

Access to $200 billion in new financing

In Canada's Economic Action Plan, we will build on our previous measures to increase access to financing.

We will make available to Canadian businesses up to $200-billion in liquidity and financing, to keep our economy moving.

This new, Extraordinary Financing Framework will have several components.

We will extend the Insured Mortgage Purchase Program through the first half of the next fiscal year, to encourage private sector financial institutions to increase lending.

We will also establish a new Canadian Secured Credit Facility, to help consumers and businesses in financing the purchase of vehicles and equipment.

In November our government committed additional capital to our financial Crown corporations, Export Development Canada (EDC) and the Business Development Bank of Canada (BDC).

EDC and BDC are key sources of financing for the small- and medium-sized businesses which create so many of Canada's new jobs.

They can now leverage this additional capital into billions of dollars of new lending ability.

In Canada's Economic Action Plan, our government will build on this success, through the Business Credit Availability Program.

This new program will give EDC and BDC greater lending powers.

It will also encourage partnerships between public- and private-sector financial institutions, to help ensure creditworthy borrowers can get access to financing.

We will provide additional support also for Canadian small businesses, by expanding the Canada Small Business Financing Program.

And we will give greater flexibility to the Canadian Deposit Insurance Corporation, to enhance its role in safeguarding the stability of Canada's financial system.

Taken together, these measures will help restore confidence and encourage lending.

And that will encourage Canadian businesses to keep investing, growing and creating jobs.

Enabling quick protective action

Even so, recent history tells us we must take nothing for granted.

Canadians need to be confident that their government has the ability to respond to unforeseen crises.

For that reason, our government proposes to give the Minister of Finance the authority required to act quickly to protect the country's financial system, should it ever come under significant additional pressure.

This will include the authority to provide loans and lines of credit, and the provision and payment of guarantees.

And it will enable the government to inject capital directly into federal financial institutions, should such a measure ever be necessary.

We do not foresee the need to use this authority.

But we have a duty to be prepared, should the unforeseen suddenly emerge.

Canadian Securities Regulator

For all its strengths, Canada's financial system does have one glaring weakness.

Our patchwork of 13 separate securities regulators, spread across the provinces and territories, causes uncertainty for investors and unnecessary red tape.

In Canada's Economic Action Plan, our government is providing a solution.

Following the recommendations of the Expert Panel chaired by the Honourable Tom Hockin, we will establish an office to manage the transition to a Canadian Securities Regulator.

Later this year we will table a Federal Securities Act for Canada, and the transition office will deliver an administrative plan within 12 months.

We will respect constitutional jurisdiction; and participation in the Canadian Securities Regulator will be voluntary.

For those provinces and territories and companies which choose to participate, it will sharpen our competitive edge.

It will put Canadians in a better position to seize new opportunities as the global economy begins to recover.

5. Immediate action to build infrastructure

In Canada's Economic Action Plan, our government is taking immediate action to improve our roads, bridges and harbours;

  • public transit, railways and border crossings;
  • schools, universities and social housing;
  • wastewater treatment plants, recreation centres and broadband Internet access.

These and other infrastructure form the backbone of our future prosperity.

Since Sir John A. Macdonald laid a railway across a continent, infrastructure has been both an immediate response to an urgent need and a hopeful act of nation building.

When chosen carefully, infrastructure projects can provide a much-needed, short-term stimulus to our economy.

Most important, infrastructure creates new, good jobs -- in construction, engineering, science and technology and manufacturing.

And this in turn creates new opportunities in other industries.

New investments in infrastructure

And so, in Canada's Economic Action Plan, we are launching one of the largest infrastructure building projects in our country's history.

Over the next two years, we will provide $4-billion in new funding for local and regional projects.

We will provide $2-billion over the next two years for deferred maintenance at Canadian universities and advanced skills training facilities at community colleges.

And we will provide $1-billion for a Green Infrastructure Fund to support projects such as sustainable energy.

Our government has already committed $33-billion for longer-term projects under the Building Canada Plan.

The new investments we are announcing today will be focused on projects ready to start construction.

Most of this new funding will be available only for the next two years, when our need for economic stimulus is greatest.

To make the money flow, we will need the continued co-operation of the provinces and municipalities.

And to break ground on these projects more quickly, we must take action now to reduce red tape and needless duplication.

Projects from coast to coast to coast

Here are some examples of projects from coast to coast to coast.

In Newfoundland and Labrador, we will proceed with improvements to the Tshiuetin railway, which provides a rail link for communities lacking year-round road access.

In Nova Scotia, we will renew bridges on the National Highway System.

In Prince Edward Island, we will invest in the Summerside Wind Energy Project.

In New Brunswick, we will complete the Fundy Trail Parkway.

In Quebec, we will upgrade roads in the Quebec City metropolitan area, and upgrade water and sewer systems across the province.

In Montreal, the Champlain Bridge, Canada's busiest, will be rehabilitated.

Quebec City will see progress on plans for the future of its majestic armoury, the Manage Militaire.

In Ontario, we will help twin key sections of the Trans-Canada Highway along Northern Highways 11 and 17.

Bridges at the crucial border crossings at Sarnia and Fort Erie will be rehabilitated, as will bridges in Burlington and Kingston, and bridges connecting Ontario and Quebec in the National Capital Region.

Railway stations in Hamilton, Windsor and Belleville will be improved.

The crucial commuter hub for the Greater Toronto Area, Toronto's landmark Union Station, will, at last, be revitalized.

And, in Ontario and Quebec, we will take a big step forward in improving travel on the Toronto-Montreal-Ottawa corridor.

We will add a third railway track at key locations between Montreal and Toronto, which will allow more express trains and make the express trip shorter by 30 minutes.

In Manitoba, work on Winnipeg's Centreport Project will accelerate, and the province's Keewatin Railway Company will receive new investments.

In Saskatchewan, we will help build the Highway 39 truck bypass in Estevan.

In Alberta, work will proceed on the Telus Science Centre in Calgary, and we will help twin the Trans-Canada Highway through Banff National Park.

In British Columbia, funds will flow for the Evergreen Transit Line and for a more modern railway station in Vancouver -- key projects as the city prepares to host the Olympic Winter Games.

In Yukon, investments will be made in water-treatment projects.

In the Northwest Territories, we will help build the City of Yellowknife Bypass Road.

In Nunavut, we will speed up construction of the small-craft harbour in Pangnirtung.

We will upgrade key Arctic research facilities.

And we will conduct a feasibility study for the proposed High Arctic research station.

Other immediate projects

Canada's Economic Action Plan will support additional infrastructure projects that transcend provincial boundaries.

These are, quite literally, nation-building projects.

Over the next two years, we will make major, new investments in Aboriginal communities, to build and renovate schools and health services facilities, to improve wastewater treatment, and to provide safe drinking water.

We will provide funding for urgently needed repairs at Canada's universities and colleges.

We will give priority to projects that will advance our universities' work in research and development, and our colleges' role in advanced skills training.

We will modernize Canada's federal laboratories and scientific facilities.

We will start work on extending broadband Internet access to every community in Canada.

And we will launch a national project to renew thousands of community recreational centres across the country.

Recreational Infrastructure Canada -- or RInC -- will provide $500-million over the next two years to build and renovate hockey arenas, swimming pools and other recreational facilities.

RInC funding will help leverage non-profit and community fundraising efforts.

It will encourage all Canadians to get involved in renewing Canada's infrastructure, right in their own neighbourhoods.

Social housing

In Canada's Economic Action Plan, we are also investing in social housing facilities -- another key part of our country's infrastructure.

Many of our social housing units need general renovations, energy-efficiency upgrades, and improved accessibility features.

Our government will invest $2-billion in new funding over the next two years to meet these needs.

We have designed this measure to ensure quick implementation through co-operation with the provinces.

It will include new funding over the next two years to build homes for low-income seniors and Canadians with disabilities, and to build and renovate housing in Aboriginal communities and in Canada's North.

And over the next two years we will make available another $2-billion in low-cost loans to municipalities to invest in sewers, water lines and other housing-related renewal projects.

The result of all these investments will be a better quality of life for Canadians in need, and safer, healthier and more modern communities.

And, like our other infrastructure investments, our investments in social housing will help stimulate our economy and create jobs across the country.

Accountability for progress

Finally, we will make ourselves accountable to Canadians in following through on all of these projects.

Over the spring and summer of this year, our government's focus will be on implementing Canada's Economic Action Plan.

The ministers responsible will provide progress reports in the fall.

Advantage Canada

Canada's Economic Action Plan is consistent with our government's long-term plan to strengthen Canada's economy.

To allow Canadian businesses to succeed in the world economy, we are developing a competitive edge, a Canadian advantage, in five areas:

  • lower taxes;
  • a smaller debt burden;
  • better regulation, and a better climate for growth;
  • a highly educated workforce;
  • and modern infrastructure.

We have already made great progress in implementing this long-term strategy.

Canada's Economic Action Plan is consistent with it, and advances it on key fronts.

We are, as the experts say, "building capacity." We are making the investments that are needed to ensure our long-term quality of life -- investments that would be required, regardless of the current global crisis.

For the good of the country

In Canada's Economic Action Plan, we are meeting the challenge of our time.

We are stimulating our economy, to protect Canadians during the global recession, and to ensure our country's long-term prosperity.

We are meeting our short-term needs, while serving our long-term goals.

Most important, Canada's Economic Action Plan meets the needs of Canadians.

It helps Canadians who are out of work.

It protects Canadian jobs and businesses.

It builds up our communities.

And it puts more money in the hands of Canadian families.

Canada's Economic Action Plan is a truly national plan, a strong consensus among Canadians on the way forward.

Our government will lead.

But our country's success depends on all of us:

  • all levels of government,
  • business and financial leaders,
  • community leaders,
  • and all Canadians.

And we must work together in this House.

The representatives of the Canadian people, assembled here in Parliament, must make a decision.

Deciding whether and how to spend the resources of our fellow Canadians is one of our most serious responsibilities.

In this extraordinary time in our history, it is also one of our most urgent responsibilities.

Our government has presented Canada's Economic Action Plan.

I invite and urge the honourable members to support it, for the good of the country.

It's budget day


It's budget day

Today is budget day, and in a few hours Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party will deliver their fourth budget. We already know the budget will take Canada 34 billion dollars into the red. We know tax cuts are likely to be minimal as Ignatieff has said as recently as Friday that the Liberals will vote down the budget if it contains tax cuts that "will not stimulate the economy" or keep us in "permanent deficit". Despite the threat, some form of middle class tax relief will be included and obviously from a political perspective; it will be tough for Liberals to justify in an election campaign or coaliton government their opposition to tax cuts. 6 in 10 Canadians want the budget to pass, and it is largely expected in the media that the budget will in fact pass with Liberal support. Earlier polls show that the coalition has overwhelmingly been rejected by Canadians and it is clear that a majority of Canadians would rather see the Governor General call an election should the Conservatives be defeated as oppose to allow an unelected coalition to rule. Yesterday in the throne speech and through leaks from various ministers, it is obvious that Conservatives are bending over backwards to meet Iggy's conditions for support. The NDP and Bloc will vote against the budget regardless of what is in it. Here is what has already been announced according to the Toronto Star:

What's Known
Deficit

$64 billion projected over two years, including $34 billion in 2009-2010. The stimulus package is valued at about $21 billion for one year.
Infrastructure

$7 billion in spending including: $4 billion of the money over two years on shovel-ready provincial and municipal projects such as roads, bridges and sewer systems. $2 billion for repairs, maintenance and construction at colleges and universities and $1 billion for green infrastructure.
Social Housing

More than $2 billion in spending nationwide, including: $1 billion to renovate existing social housing; $600 million for on-reserve housing to help address a frequent call from aboriginal leaders to improve the state of housing; $400 million for seniors’ housing; and $75 million for housing those with disabilities.
Job Training

Spending of $2 billion, including: $1.5 billion for laid-off workers who are eligible to collect employment insurance, as well as for those who cannot access EI funds under current rules; $500 million for retraining workers who have been in the workforce for a long time but are too young to retire.
Industry

$1 billion to help single-industry towns such as mining, farming and forestry communities; $500 million to help modernize farms; $150 million for forestry. Plus, $50 million to expand slaughterhouses.
Arts & Culture

$160 million in culture spending, including: $100 million over two years for arts festivals, music and comedy across Canada; and $60 million, also spread over two years, for constructing or maintaining theatres, museums and other arts buildings under the Cultural Spaces Canada program.
Autos

In addition to a $2.7 billion bailout already announced for the Canadian arms of U.S. car makers General Motors and Chrysler, the government is expected to take steps to make consumer financing for car loans and leases easier to obtain.

What's expected


Taxes

Billions of dollars in tax breaks for the middle class, including incentives for home renovations, which could take the form of a refundable tax credit, and increased tax incentives to help companies invest in new technology and equipment, develop their research arms and pursue cutting-edge environmental products.
Banks & Lending

The government will take steps to increase access to credit by consumers and business, possibly including authorization of expanded financial support for business by the Business Development Bank of Canada and Export Development Canada. The throne speech pledged action to ensure the stability of Canada’s financial system. Finance Minister Jim Flaherty will seek authority to inject capital into Canada’s banks if needed.
Credit Cards

The budget will include legislative measures to expand Ottawa’s powers to regulate when credit-card companies slam customers with unforeseen rate hikes, forcing companies to be more transparent about rate changes, sources have said.

Michael Ignatieff has laid out three conditions for supporting the budget:

1, It must protect the most vulnerable

From what has already been leaked, it is clear that assistance will be provided for seniors, aboriginals, the unemployed, those in the arts, those who require EI but do not qualify and those in need of affordable housing. This condition has likely been satisfied.

2, It must save jobs

There will be bailouts for the auto industry, banks, forestry, mining communities, farmers and virtually every other industry. All of this is being done to "save jobs".

3, It must "create the jobs of tomorrow."


So far this condition hasn't been satisfied and will likely be revealed after the budget. Will research projects such as the National Centre for Medical Device Development being proposed for Markham be included? What will be done to create "green jobs"? Will there be assistance for small businesses? What will be done to address Canada's productivity? All of this will be interesting in today's budget.

4, It must not include tax cuts.

This could be the potential poision pill that leads to the defeat of the Conservative government. Defeating the government over Middle Class tax cuts could prove costly politically however for the Liberals. Some form of tax credits and cuts are likely for this budget. This issue will determine if Liberals support or oppose in the end.

Tomorrow morning, we will know officially if the budget will pass. Ignatieff wants to "sleep on it". The vote takes place at 6pm. If the budget does not pass, the Governor General will have to chose between coalition or election. Either way months will pass before a new budget is written and implemented meaning that political opportunism will prove costly to Canadians desparate for assistance and an economy desparate for stimulus. Like all budgets this one will produce winners and losers. At the end of the day Conservatives could prove to be both winners and losers. Conservatives might win because they will stay in power another day most likely. Conservatives also lose because survival will come at the high price of their traditional values and policy positions as many from the base have already dismissed this as a "Liberal or coalition budget". I should have an update later today once the budget is officially delivered at 4pm.

Thanks for reading...

Darryl

Monday, 26 January 2009




Why Budget and Throne Speech will most likely pass

In December, parliament was prorogued following a threat by the opposition parties to form a coalition that would have been led by Stephane Dion, included Jack Layton and the NDP in cabinet and relied on the separatists for support. The move was a reaction to the fall fiscal update that included an end to political subsidies for political parties. A non-confidence motion was tabelled by the Liberals leading the Prime Minister to ask the Governor General to prorogue the parliament until today. A lot has changed over the past month, but today in Canada's parliament returns with a throne speech followed by a crucial budget tomorrow.

At the time the coalition was proposed, opposition to the initiative was obvious across the country. Rallies for Canada took place. Temporarily, Conservative numbers shot up well into majority territory as Canadians outright feared a coalition government consisting of Liberals, NDP and Bloc Quebecois members. Poll numbers rattled the Liberal caucus leading to a quick decision to appoint Michael Ignatieff as leader of the Liberal Party through a caucus vote. Today, Stephane Dion is not even included in the shadow cabinet and will hide somewhere in the backbenches until the next election. Despite the rhetoric, NDP leader Jack Layton and Bloc leader Gilles Duceppe know the coalition is likely dead. What is taking place now is positioning to say later that Michael Ignatieff and the Liberals are solely responsible for propping up the Harper government. Today in the House of Commons, Michael Ignatieff makes his debut as leder of the opposition.

In the United States, during the time parliament was prorogued, an inauguration took place and America now has a new president. He will be working on a US stimulus package and in many ways has already changed the game in Canada. His election gives Harper the chance to work with him on the economy, auto sector, free trade, security, energy, the environment and Afghanistan. He is expected to visit Canada in February, but that visit might be prosponed if there turns out to be a coalition or election. The leadership bar has now been raised for both Harper and Ignatieff heading into this new session of parliament.

Today there will be a throne speech and tomorrow Jim Flaherty will present one of the most important budgets in Canada's history. Consultations have been broad and the numbers show that the government has been listening:

46 municipalities consulted

5,400 letters, emails and submissions from groups, individuals

70 formal roundtables

4 meetings between Flaherty and his economic advisory council

7,200 online responses

102 discussions with provincial/territorial officials

680 organizations consulted included manufacturing, forestry and mining

Consultations with the Premiers have also taken place and there seems to be support from them to put games aside and get to work on the economy. Meetings have also taken place between Flaherty, Scott Brison and John McCallum, and also between Stephen Harper and Michael Ignatieff. Despite being largely a waste of time, Flaherty has also met with the Bloc and NDP. Both parties have basically said they will not support the budget despite not having seen it. Both Layton and Duceppe are clining to the coalition - the only way either man will get into cabinet.

Tomorrow's budget will take us back into deficit. 34 billion this year. 30 billion next year. There is a possibility that the government will be in the red for the next five years. The economy is likely to get worse despite the stimulus package over the next four years. We already know there will be money for various industrial sectors including automotive, foresty and mining. There is also likely to be money for affordable housing, public transit projects and projects promoting research and innovation. Some money will be used for retraining and there will likely be some kind of reform to EI included in the budget. There will likely be tax relief to the middle class, but tax cuts are likely to be minimal due to opposition threats to bring the government down over the issue. The remainder of the budget will be interesting with a few hints likely in today's throne speech.

At the end of the day expect this budget to pass. Liberal demands for support will largely be met. Bringing down the government, forming a coalition and issuing a new budget would take months and would delay stimulus to the economy in the process. Finally, Michael Ignatieff knows that it will be difficult for the Conservatives to govern during this recession or otherwise tough times. He knows full well that his chances are better waiting for poll numbers to improve, rebuilding his party and hoping the economic situation punishes the incumbent as a way to take power in the long term as oppose to forming a coalition and taking the heat for joining with socialists and separatists, governing in bad economic times and then tried to get re-elected later on. Expect Liberals to take credit for parts of this budget. By demonstrating he has the confidence of the House, Stephen Harper will live to fight another day while Michael Ignatieff distances himself from the coalition. By passing the budget, it will be unlikely that the Governor General will grant a coalition as oppose to an election should the government be defeated in the future.

Hopefully Barack Obama inspires Canadian politicians to get past partisan politics and get to work on behalf of all Canadians during these economic times. While I have not seen the budget document at this point, I fully expect it will ultimately pass with Liberal support. Like most Canadians, Michael Ignatieff has no interest in a coalition where he would be held hostage by the separatists and Jack Layton's outdated and irrelevant socialist policy positions. By the same token, Stephen Harper will do what it takes to stay in power. For now politics is back to normal in Canada, but it will not be long before an election takes place in the future.

Thanks for reading...

Darryl

Update: 7 billion for infrastructure will also be included. This allocation will likely include money for green projects, roads and public transit and also construction projects at Canada's colleges and universities. More to come as further details leak...

Tuesday, 9 December 2008



Breaking News: Bob Rae drops out of Liberal leadership race

Michael Ignatieff will now officially be the leader of the Liberal party by caucus vote. It is highly likely that this will be ratified in May with something closer to a leadership review. This of course puts the coalition in question.
-Darryl

***

Rae abandons leadership bid; Ignatieff next Liberal chief

OTTAWA — Michael Ignatief will be the next leader of the federal Liberal party.

The Canadian Press has learned rival candidate Bob Rae told confidantes during a teleconference call today that he is withdrawing from the race. It now rests with the party executive to find a way to install Ignatieff that meets with the approval of the majority of Liberal party members.

The Toronto-area MP will become the third Liberal leader in five years - possibly as soon as Wednesday's caucus meeting.

Ignatieff has been cool to the idea of replacing the Conservative minority government with a Liberal-NDP coalition.

Current party leader Stephane Dion announced Monday he will step aside as soon as a replacement is chosen.

Saturday, 6 December 2008
































Photos from Toronto anti-coalition rally at Queens Park

Unfortunately the battery on my camera died, so credit goes to various friends on Facebook for these pictures I stole. It seems so far the media isn't covering our rally.

Overall a well attended rally. Several great speakers including new Canadians, veterans, John Tory, Frank Klees, Tim Hudak, Peter Kent, Rick Dykstra, and lots of young people. The crowd was fired up and angry over the proposed oppositon coup. The highlight was some of the creativity on the signs as well as the large amount of people who told me they actually voted Liberal but would never do so again. Overall it was a well attended rally, especially given that we didn't have any union drives to get our people out unlike those at Nathan Phillips Square. I am sure that Liberals will lose seats in Toronto following the next election. After this mistake, there is no longer such a thing as a safe Liberal seat in Canada.

Update: Toronto up until the last election was the last remaining stronghold for the Liberal Party. Still we drew a great crowd that was fired up and ready to fight for democracy. From pictures of the pro-coalition rally in the same picture I have seen in the media, it is clear that even in Toronto the government is winning the day. I think Toronto was successful, but I can't imagine the energy level at the rally in Calgary today. Check out the blog Right from Alberta for pictures of the Calgary event!
-Darryl

***

Video of Peter Kent talking about the coalition and Liberals who have approached the Conservative Party and thanked him for proroguing parliament


If coalition defeats government on budget, Stephen Harper should take 143 resignation letters to the Governor General

If the budget is defeated, there is a 50/50 chance the Governor General might allow this coup to take place. An easy way to avoid that would be to take that decision away from her. If Harper is defeated by the opposition coup, he should take his resignation along with every single Conservative MP's resignation to the Governor General to force an election. This would give her two choices:

1, Faced with a guaranteed 143 by-elections all taking place simultaneously, the Governor General would almost surely call an election and make it 308 MPs running for re-election.

2, Allow the coalition to form a government with a separatist party in a half vacant house with no opposition party while 143 by-elections take place with a campaign against the unelected government.

I think the choice for the Governor General would become an obvious one taking us into an election campaign with Conservative support at 51%. I hope it is an idea that our caucus, Prime Minister and the opposition parties consider before voting on the budget. Initial credit to Steve Janke who first proposed this idea in the event a coalition coup takes power. Frankly on principle there is no way we could recognize an unelected government supported by separatists with Dion or an interim leader as Prime Minister. Why should only Liberals get to chose your next Prime Minister.
-Darryl

Friday, 5 December 2008

Three crucial speeches from Stephen Harper

When you watch these three speeches, it is amazing how a week can change things in politics. These three speeches are important at this time from Stephen Harper. They outline what was happening when the country was on the right track. This coup has created political instability, economic uncertainty, a unity crisis and done nothing to address the needs of Canadians. This coalition has taken us on the wrong track in Canada, and it is time to get back on the right track.

The first video is from the Winnipeg Conservative Convention. At this speech he highlights the hard work of volunteers who made the election victory possible. He outlines his vision and reaches out to opposition parties. The second video is the election night victory speech that gave him the mandate to become Prime Minister. He reaches out to Opposition parties. In the third video he outlines what is going on now and what he has done on the economy. He solicits ideas from the opposition parties.

The opposition have been plotting a coup to defeat Harper by joining with the separatists while the Conservative Party was attempting to work for Canadians who elected them on the issues people care about. Opposition speeches following the Governor General's announcement didn't seem like leaders who were interested in working on the economy. It seemed to me they want power at all costs despite your vote. They have no intention of working with the elected Prime Minister to make this parliament work. Several including Bob Rae have said Harper should be brought down regardless of what he does. "There is no turning back".

The results of the last election should be upheld and stability should be maintained for Canadians. Opposition should put Canada before their own political ambitions and political games. Thanks to Stephane Dion, the case has been made for a Conservative majority.
-Darryl

Winnipeg Conservative Convention Speech:

What Harper stands for. A great speech that also highlights the last campaign and where the country was going before this power grab by the coalition. Credit to Stephen Taylor for filming this.



Election Night Coverage and Harper Victory Speech October 14, 2008

How you become the Prime Minister of Canada unless you are Stephane Dion. Note 4:15 on the tape. 5:07 is also interesting. At 7:14 Harper speeks.
-Darryl



Address to the Nation:

Why this Rally for Canada is happening. Note this is how you produce a video and make sure it arrives on time.
-Darryl

 

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