Showing posts with label Newmarket and York Region Elections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Newmarket and York Region Elections. Show all posts

Sunday, 20 February 2011


I'm pleased to announce that Darryl Wolk will be assuming responsibilities as my Executive Assistant at Queen's Park effective February 21st.

Many of you know Darryl from his involvement on the NAPPCA Board and as an active volunteer on past Team Klees election and leadership campaigns. Darryl brings extensive experience in social media communications and his recent work experience in Government Relations will serve him well as he takes on his new role at Queen's Park. I am looking forward to working with Darryl in the lead-up to the October 6th election. His professional expertise and his political experience will be a welcome addition to our team.

Frank Klees, MPP

Thursday, 6 August 2009


Liberal Party of Canada Announces Four New Women Candidates in Ontario

Published on 03 August 2009

OTTAWA - Ontario campaign co-Chairs Brenda Kurczak, Jeff Kehoe and Chris Koddermann announced today the nominations of four exceptional women candidates to run for the Liberal Party of Canada in the next federal election: Christine Innes (Trinity-Spadina), Deborah Gillis (Halton), Margaret Black (Newmarket-Aurora) and Kimberley Love (Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound).

“These incredible women boast a proud personal history of accomplishment and service to their community,” said Ms. Kurczak. “We look forward to their contributions to the political process in our province and our country.”

“The nomination of these four exceptional candidates brings the Ontario campaign four big steps closer to being ready for the next election,” said Mr. Koddermann. “Their unique skill-sets and perspectives are a testament to the importance of female participation in Canadian politics.”

"The talent and experience of these four women represent the tremendous strength of the future Liberal government," said Mr. Kehoe. “These candidates are further proof of the talent our Party is attracting under the Leadership of Michael Ignatieff.”

-----

Background

Christine Innes has been nominated to run in the riding of Trinity-Spadina. A Toronto-based lawyer and a dedicated community activist, Ms. Innes brings a depth of experience both inside and outside government. Early in her career she worked on Parliament Hill for the Hon. Jim Peterson and at Queen’s Park for the Hon. Greg Sorbara. Following her graduation from Osgoode Hall Law School, she became a litigator with the well-known Toronto firm Fraser Milner Casgrain. She currently serves as a senior advisor to Ontario’s Minister of Aboriginal Affairs. Ms. Innes balances her family and professional life with numerous community pursuits, including fundraising for the Alexandra Park Community Centre, Parent’s Association Executive, her community church and as founder and Co-Chair of the Bloor-Borden Market which brings local farmers and their produce to the inner city.

Deborah Gillis has been appointed to run in the riding of Halton by Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff. Ms. Gillis has advanced women’s causes through both her professional and community pursuits. As Vice President, North America for Catalyst, she has worked globally to promote the advancement of women in business. A breast cancer survivor, Ms. Gillis is a patient representative on the Cancer Quality Council of Ontario and has raised thousands of dollars for breast cancer research through her participation in the Weekend to End Breast Cancer. Her distinguished career includes work for the Governments of Ontario and Nova Scotia, as well as PricewaterhouseCoopers and Grant Thornton.

Margaret Black has been acclaimed as the candidate for the Liberal nomination in Newmarket Aurora and will be nominated on August 12. Ms. Black has served her community for five terms as Mayor of King Township and Councillor for the Regional Municipality of York. A lawyer by profession, her extensive experience includes a term as Chair of the York Region Police Services Board and service on the boards of the Southlake Regional Health Centre, Oak Ridges Moraine Land Trust, Municipal Property Assessment Corporation, and the Greater Toronto Agricultural Action Board. Ms. Black has been recognized for her distinguished political career as a recipient of the Queen’s Jubilee Award and the Rural Female Politician Award.

Kimberley Love has been nominated to run in the riding of Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound. A marketing and communications consultant and lecturer at Wilfrid Laurier University, Ms. Love has deep roots in Grey County and is passionate about traditional Liberal values as well as agricultural issues. Having lived in both rural and urban Canada, she brings a unique perspective which makes her ideally suited to represent the people of Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound.

Monday, 15 December 2008




Lois Brown M.P., Newmarket-Aurora



FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

December 2, 2008



Statement by Lois Brown, M.P. Newmarket-Aurora



(Newmarket-Aurora, ON) - Political maneuverings of the most serious consequence, by party leaders whose prime ministerial aspirations were firmly dismissed just weeks ago, have left many Canadians angry and confused. A take-over of government by the three federal opposition parties could plunge our country into a state of political and economic turmoil never seen before.

How did this happen? The October 14th federal election results saw a Conservative government earn a significantly stronger minority mandate. 143 Conservative MPs were elected, an increase of 15% from the 124 seats earned in 2006. The Liberal Party under Stéphane Dion received a historic low of 77 seats. The Bloc Québécois received 49 seats, and the NDP Party obtained 37 seats. Each party ran on platforms constitutionally guided by very different sets of principles.

However, instead of accepting their responsibilities as opposition critics, the Liberals, Bloc and NDP have created a pact designed to seize control of the government. This three-party coalition led by Stéphane Dion, Jack Layton and Gilles Duceppe intend to vote down the leadership of the Stephen Harper Conservatives and replace it with their own.

Why are these people risking the state of our already fragile economy and the possibility of plunging our country into unknown perils? In a letter dated December 1 addressed to “our fellow citizens,” all three Leaders contend that Mr. Harper “has no plan” to address the current economic crisis - language identical to the rhetoric heard during the recent campaign. The Liberals, Bloc and NDP simply refuse to accept the people’s verdict. Their campaign has continued, resulting in the formation of a bizarre, unstable coalition dependant on agreement of three diametrically opposed parties with little common ground. The real motivation in bringing down the Conservative government isn’t concern for the economy, but seizing an opportunity to gain control in a transparent, planned and unprecedented grab for power.

On October 14th citizens of Newmarket and Aurora elected a Conservative MP within a strong Conservative minority government to represent their interests in Ottawa. As your elected Member of Parliament, I am committed to acting in the best interests of our communities at all times. Most recently I have been working with the Minister of Industry and speaking with officials at Magna in an effort to mitigate the impact of the Exterion plant closings and to search for longer term solutions. There is dialogue with officials in both towns to determine which infrastructure projects the federal government can assist in fast-tracking.

What we do not need is a constitutional crisis and economic instability created from three political parties’ refusal to accept the democratically stated will of Canadians. The Liberal-NDP-Bloc strategy for our future is based on back-room deals and a written letter. The coalition’s entire plan relies on the support of the Bloc Québécois whose stated purpose for existence is to separate from Canada.

Since 2006 Prime Minister Stephen Harper has governed prudently and responsibly. Canada is forecast as having the best economic growth of all other OECD countries in the world. Our economy is undergoing challenges; however we remain in the best shape of all other G-7 countries. Our 2009 budget, to be tabled on January 27, will contain measures appropriate for these uncertain economic times. We are working at moving ahead on infrastructure projects and other productivity enhancing investments to create jobs and stimulate the economy. It is simply irresponsible for anyone to otherwise plunge Canada billions of dollars into debt without a well thought-out plan of return. To have an unstable coalition government take control without an election, during a time of global economic uncertainty, is a risk we cannot afford.

I urge everyone concerned with our country’s future to contact me. You can call me at 905-953-7515, send an email to BrownLo@parl.gc.ca or visit my constituency office at 16600 Bayview Ave., Suite 206, Newmarket, Ontario L3X 1Z9.

Lois Brown is the elected Member of Parliament for Newmarket-Aurora. She is a member of the House of Commons Standing Committees for Transport, Infrastructure and Communities, and Foreign Affairs and International Trade.



-30-



Lois Brown M.P., Newmarket-Aurora



FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

December 5, 2008

Monday, 3 November 2008








Pictures from Lois Brown swearing in ceremony today

Congratulations again to Lois Brown! It was a pleasure and honour to share in this moment. Photos include Lois and her family. Also members of the campaign team.
-Darryl

Wednesday, 15 October 2008


Lois Brown Victory Speech

A long time coming. Congratulations Lois...you earned this!!!
-Darryl


Posted by the Era Banner:

http://www.yrmg.com/streaming/news/0810lois.html





York Region sends 4 Conservatives out of 7 to Ottawa: Congratulations Lois Brown, Peter Van Loan, Peter Kent and Paul Calandra

Update: I just realized Rahim Jaffer was defeated last night by the NDP. Therefore we did not sweep Alberta. Keith Martin also held his seat by 68 votes. Sorry for the confusion...

Congratulations to Lois Brown, Peter Kent, Peter Van Loan and Paul Calandra who pulled off Conservative wins in York Region last night. York Region now has 4 out of 7 MPs representing the Conservative Party.

It was also great to see gains in Mississauga, Halton, Oakville, Kitchener, London, Brant, Huron-Bruce, Kenora, and general vote increases virtually everywhere else in Ontario including Toronto.

Thanks to Leona Aglukkaq's win in Nunavut, we now have representation in Canada's North!

In Quebec it was great to see Jean-Pierre Blackburn re-elected. I personally hope Maxime Bernier returns to cabinet.

Congratulations to Peter MacKay in Central Nova. We saw gains in the province as Robert Thibault was defeated by Greg Kerr.

It was great to see a gain in PEI with Egmont. Congratulations Gail Shea on taking the seat. Danny Williams ABC campaign obviously cost us in Newfoundland. It also cost Newfoundland representation in the Conservative government and caucus. As far as I am concerned, the onus is on Danny Williams to repair the damaged relations with Harper as a result of this campaign.

And how about New Brunswick?? Goodbye Paul Zed. Liberal Charles Hubbard was also defeated. Keith Ashfield also picked up a seat for the Conservatives in Fredericton.

Congratulations to Shelly Glover in Saint Boniface boosting our seat total in Manitoba!

In Saskatchewan, we came close to sweeping the province. In Alberta we once again swept the province taking 65% of the vote!

Finally, 5 seat pickups in BC. Gary Lunn holds his seat. Donna Cadmen is going to Ottawa. Keith Martin goes down in defeat. Congratulations Alice Wang for the win in Richmond. Congratulations to all Conservative incumbents who held their ridings.

I would also like to congratulate our leader Stephen Harper for growing his seat total to 143. Canadians have trusted us with a larger mandate and it is time to get to work on their behalf.
Liberals finished with 76 seats, the Bloc 50, NDP 37 and the Greens were shut out. Congratulations go out to former Conservative Bill Casey who was re-elected as an independent. Also congratulations to Andre Arthur who also won his seat as an independent in a race where there was no Conservative opponent.

Overall a great election for Conservatives. I am quite satifisfied with the verdict of the people, particularly in Ontario and BC. Thank you to all the Conservative volunteers across the country who made this victory possible.

In Newmarket-Aurora, it feels great to once again be a blue seat. I would like to congratulate Tim Jones and the Liberal team for a strong campaign. I would also like to thank Belinda Stronach for her service to the community as an MP and through various charitable work. I am looking forward to Lois Brown representing us in Ottawa and am extremely happy that her determination over 5 years has finally paid off!!!!

Thanks for reading and voting...

Darryl

Monday, 13 October 2008




Vote for Lois Brown, the Conservative Party and Stephen Harper today in Newmarket-Aurora!!!!!!!!

Note: Comments closed due to Elections Canada requirements on voting day


My predictions: Canadian Federal Election 2008

National Prediction:

CPC: 136, LIB: 85, NDP: 35, BQ: 50, IND: 2, GREEN 0
(155 required for a majority government)


Conservative minority with Stephen Harper as Prime Minister

***Election Turnout will be 56%

York Region:

Liberal 3, Conservative 3

Conservative pick ups in Newmarket-Aurora and Thornhill

***

Conservative: 136

BC: 22, Alberta: 28, Sask 13; Manitoba 8; North 1; Ontario 47; Quebec 9; NB 4; NS 3; PEI 0; NFLD 1

Key predictions:

-Gary Lunn will hold his seat in BC

-Donna Cadmen will win her seat for the Conservatives

-Greens will lose their only seat to the Conservatives in West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country

-Conservatives will win every seat in Alberta

-Conservatives will win all but one in Saskatchewan

-Conservatives will hold their results in Manitoba

-Lisa Raitt will defeat Garth Turner, Newmarket-Aurora will go blue. Other key Ontario wins will come in Mississauga, Oakville, London West and two rural seats Brant and Huron Bruce.

-Gains will come in Ontario and BC. Will take at least one loss in Quebec.

-Michael Fortier will be defeated

-Peter MacKay will defeat Elizabeth May in Nova Scotia

-Robert Thibault will be defeated in West Nova

-Potential gains for the Conservatives in New Brunswick and Nunavut

-Fabian Manning will win his seat in Newfoundland. Conservatives will be shut out of PEI again.

-No wins for Conservatives in Montreal or Toronto

***

Liberal 85

BC 5; ALB: 0; SASK 1; MAN 3; North 1; ONT 42; QUE 14; PEI 4; NB 5; NFLD 5; NS 5

Key Predictions:

-Will lose seats in Ontario and BC

-Justin Trudeau will be elected in Quebec as will Marc Garneau

-Will not win a seat in Alberta

-Will win most seats in Toronto and Montreal

-Gerard Kennedy will be defeated

-Ralph Goodale will win his riding

-Will make a pick up in Newfoundland and potentially elsewhere in Atlantic Canada

NDP 35

BC 9; ALB 0; SASK 0; MAN 3; North 1; ONT 17; QUE 1; NB 1; NS 2; NFLD 1; PEI 0

-Jack Layton and Olivia Chow will win their ridings

-Peggy Nash will hold her seat

-Look for potential NDP gains in BC, Northern Ontario, Beaches in Toronto, Newfoundland and potentially Atlantic Canada

-No additonal seats in Quebec

-Will not beat Ed Broadbent's record or form official opposition

Bloc Quebecois 50

QUE: 50

-Will take out Conservative Minister Jean Pierre Blackburn

-Will defeat Conservative Minister Michael Fortier

-Will be defeated by at least 2 Liberals including Justin Trudeau

-Will remain a strong force in Quebec

Independent Candidates 2

NS 1; QUE 1

-Former Conservative Bill Casey will win his seat in Nova Scotia

-Independent Andre Arthur will win his riding in Quebec where he is not facing a Conservative opponent

Green Party: 0

Canada: No Seats

-Elizabeth May will lose to Peter MacKay

-Greens will do best in Guelph and in Blair Wilson's BC riding

-At least one second place showing but no seats

PREDICTIONS FOR YORK REGION:

York Simcoe: Conservative - Peter Van Loan
Newmarket-Aurora: Conservative - Lois Brown
Thornhill: Conservative - Peter Kent
Oak Ridges Markham: Liberal - Lui Temelkovski
Markham-Unionville: Liberal - John McCallum
Richmond Hill: Liberal - Bryan Wilfert

Sunday, 12 October 2008





Protests welcome Dion in Newmarket-Aurora and elsewhere in the area.

It was a pretty good day in Newmarket-Aurora for the Conservative Party today. Stephane Dion visited the Magna Center in Newmarket and was greeted by a sea of blue signs and some protesters who showed up opposing the carbon tax and Dion's lack of leadership. In Orillia earlier, a green party sign popped up during his speech. Not a good day for Dion on this final day of campaigning. Today's polls likely made his day even worse. This will now come down to who is better at getting out the vote, the conversations that occur at the Thanksgiving dinner table and momentum that the Conservatives have regained locally and nationally.

Newmarket-Aurora is a crucial Ontario 905 GTA swing riding that both the Liberals and Conservatives are targeting. The seat has no incumbant as Belinda Stronach has retired from politics and now the race is between former Aurora mayor Tim Jones and Conservative national councilor and small business owner Lois Brown. Today is likely the final day of campaigning as tomorrow and Monday people do not want to have their Thanksgiving holiday disturbed by politicians asking for their vote. A bad national rally for Dion was a good way to conclude the campaign today for Harper and Lois Brown today. Liberal morale is down.

Our vote has been identified and the results are looking positive compared to previous elections in 2004 and 2006. Internal polls look good. National polls are increasing for Conservatives in the final days and the Star reported Harper is leading in the 905. I am confident this riding will go blue on Tuesday, but we will be working the whole day on Tuesday to make sure it happens. Every vote is crucial and Tuesday we have do complete the final sprint and get that vote out for Lois and the Conservative Party nationally.

Update 3: The scene inside the Magna Centre with Dion. What is with the face paint and feathers?

Update 2: Local supporter gets an image of Dion's bus leaving Newmarket with Lois Brown signs all along Muluck St. Not the welcome into Newmarket-Aurora that Mr. Dion was expecting I am sure.

Update: On CTV, I also caught protests at Dion's speech in Vaughn where Liberals won last time by 20,000 votes. Images in York Region today of small crowds and growing Conservative support in the crucial GTA\905 area cannot be great optics for the rest of the Liberal campaign nationally. We now stop campaigning for Thanksgiving day, and vote on Tuesday. Leader tours are all about optics in the media. They show momentum and impact the local race. Today we saw no momentum for Dion in the suburbs including in safe ridings. If signs could vote, Lois Brown would be in Ottawa right now. Hopefully on Tuesday that will become a reality as is now projected according to most polls and sites such as electionprediction.org. Dion today said he would not implement much of his campaign promises with the exception of the green shaft for years. That is not acceptable during these challenging economic times and it further demonstrates the weak leadership of Stephane Dion.

...and seriously, what was with the "leather caps and feather boas, with the Liberal leader’s surname painted on their faces"? Bringing Dion here was a risk that did not pay off for Liberals today. Hopefully this plays well in the papers and television media tomorrow. It is unlikely to be covered by either of our local papers prior to election day due to the Thanksgiving holiday.
-Darryl

Blog Coverage from MacLeans, Toronto Star and Others:

More with Dion from Magna-land

Think about this: a Parliament with Belinda Stronach or without. Which is the boring choice? I mean, is Bill Clinton going to go out with Diane Finley? (I pick her only because she's married.) Ms. Stronach certainly added a certain je ne sais quoi to Parliament while she dabbled in politics. In Newmarket, she told my colleague Les Whittington she has one more day as MP (not sure how that works) for Newmarket-Aurora. She will be missed. Plus, she has set a strong example for women by speaking out about breast cancer.

Stronach greeted Stéphane Dion an hour ago at a four-plex sports centre in Newmarket, funded with Magna Corporation money. Wow, four rinks, a couple of pools. My dad used a hose in the backyard. (Oh, and that reference to not having a mortgage in a previous post. It's because I don't have a house.) As Dion got off his bus, teenaged cheerleaders in feathers and sequins began a series of tinny chants. Weird. Even weirder, they were almost drowned out by a small knot of protesters across the street yelling, "No Dion."

Stay tuned.

http://thestar.blogs.com/decoder/


The Final Days: Newmarket

This afternoon’s stop at a rather palatial community centre north of Toronto included guest appearances by Belinda Stronach and, traveling separately, a dozen protesters carrying signs upon which were written slogans that corresponded neatly with Conservative party talking points. One wore a poorly fitting hockey jersey. Another insisted on holding his sign upside down (better to express his objection to the carbon tax perhaps).

Mr. Dion and the local candidate strolled around the community centre, flanked by two young girls sporting leather caps and feather boas, with the Liberal leader’s surname painted on their faces. The two politicians talked hockey while overlooking an ice rink, then stopped to pick up some popcorn from the refreshment stand. In keeping with his commitment to a proper social safety net, Mr. Dion gave his to a group of children.

http://blog.macleans.ca/2008/10/11/the-final-days-newmarket/

***

Blogging from the Dion bus

I'm disappointed. On the Dion bus, the Liberal staffers don't have little mics in their collars and talk into them like RCMP - or like Conservative handlers with Stephen Harper. I had wanted to see political staffers put on the intel thing, but I guess I'll have to settle with civilians just acting like civilians. The Conservatives do sound cool. They must be very important people. I think baggage handlers need high-tech gizmos.

Dion is buoyant as we tootle through southern Ontario, urging a Saturday crowd in Orillia they've got to send Liberal candidates (Simcoe North and Barrie) because the only way to stop Harper is to vote Liberal - not NDP or Green. What an amazing day for wandering around a farmer's market; problem is, that's not how campaigns work. You rush through watching the candidate shake hands and pose for pix and rush back to the bus. Janine Krieber, Dion's wife, sometimes gets squashed back in the crowd but she's arm-in-arm with their daughter, Jeanne, 20, who's on the campaign for the final push.

Got to say, though, the mood among Liberal operatives - not necessarily on the bus - is hardly euphoric this weekend. The weekend polls have started to put the Conservatives around 8 points ahead and with the wind back in their sails, it looks like an impossible feat for Liberals to do as well as some were hoping last Monday or Tuesday. A starry-eyed little moment of optimism. Guess that bump in the polls was an illusion, If the Conservatives keep pushing the fear button - the economy will go to hell under Dion, higher taxes, etc. - Libs are worried about what they can do over this holiday weekend. The m-word has slipped back into the mouths of some Liberals. They're not talking about a Conservative minority. And, even though three days is a long time in politics, Liberals think of all those families sitting down to Thanksgiving dinner and giving Harper a little holiday bump, just as they did at Christmas, 2005.

http://thestar.blogs.com/decoder/

***

Dion says economy will slow pace of his platform

During a whistle stop in Aurora, Ont., retiring MP Belinda Stronach said Dion's decision to tilt upfront spending in the platform to create jobs is necessary because the Conservatives "squandered" the $12 billion surplus they inherited from the Liberals and "circumstances are changing very rapidly."

"We have no choice but to juggle priorities or it's on the back of future generations," Stronach told reporters. "People must have employment, they must have good quality jobs to maintain our quality of life. We need to generate income so we have a good social safety net."

Dion stopped in the riding to boost the campaign of former mayor Tim Jones, the Liberal who hopes to succeed Stronach.

http://www.canada.com/calgaryherald/news/story.html?id=a5df7367-e58f-402c-810e-f8dd0d3d837c


***

Dion won't step down if he loses

Juliet O'Neill, Canwest News Service

Published: Sunday, October 12, 2008

OTTAWA - Declaring several times that "I am not a quitter," Stephane Dion indicated Sunday he will not step down as Liberal leader if he loses the election that he says is "a choice between lies and honesty."

Liberal leader Stephane Dion buys a bag of popcorn as he visits a recreational center in Newmarket.

Liberal leader Stephane Dion buys a bag of popcorn as he visits a recreational center in Newmarket.

Photograph by : Reuters

The Montreal MP emphasized his determination several times to reporters as he blitzed three Ontario ridings, calling on New Democrats and Greens to shift their votes to the Liberals and potentially elect enough MPs on Tuesday to defeat "the most secretive, very conservative government in history."

The only exception Dion made was in the Nova Scotia riding of Central Nova, where the Liberals are not running a candidate against Green Party Leader Elizabeth May and are campaigning to help her defeat Defence Minister Peter MacKay.

Falling short of a direct appeal for strategic voting, May hinted supporters should calculate their chances of defeating Conservatives by voting Liberal.

She said Greens could not alone put Liberals over the top in many ridings, but they should "vote accordingly."

Later in the day Dion made his strongest pitch yet for Green party supporters to vote for the Grits in Tuesday's election, saying he's been endorsed by a Nobel-Prize winning scientist as the only leader who will actually deal with climate change.

At a boisterous rally in the Ottawa riding of Orleans, Dion boasted that climate change scientist Andrew Weaver of the University of Victoria had endorsed him, that 250 economists are calling for a price on fossil fuels and that Green Party Leader Elizabeth May repeated again Sunday that she wants him to be prime minister.

"Elizabeth May and I can be counted on to level with Canadians," Dion pledged. "By coming together we can defeat Stephen Harper and give to Canada the greener prime minister you may have. So go green: vote red."

Dion appeared to misspeak slightly; he usually promises to be the "greenest" prime minister.

Dion called for the defeat of "the most secretive prime minister in Canadian history." Among the secrets he claimed Harper is keeping is the true cost of the government's proposed green plan. Harper said Saturday that the government plan would raise electricity costs by four per cent over a decade but Dion said "it must be much more than that."

Earlier Dion cited a call for Greens to vote Liberal by three Canadian scientists who shared in the 2007 Nobel Prize to former U.S. vice-president Al Gore and the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Weaver, William Peltier and John Stone had issued a statement Saturday saying "Greens alone can help make the difference between the Harper majority that the climate scientists fear and a Liberal minority under which great progress can be made to fight climate change."

He said when so many economists and environmentalists agree with the principle behind the Liberal Green Shift plan "it's a large coalition far beyond usual partisan politics."

On the heels of Prime Minister Stephen Harper saying the Conservatives would look for a new leader if he fails to win the Tuesday vote, a feisty Dion told a Toronto TV interviewer: "Well he's a quitter; I'm not."

Dion, leading a national campaign for his first time, repeated his declaration in other encounters with reporters during a bus tour of ridings in Toronto, Norwood, Ont. and Ottawa.

And he'll conduct a final push Monday when Dion will travel from the Atlantic to the Pacific.

Liberals announced they have dubbed Dion's campaign plane "Progress Air" to reflect his call for unity among all "progressive voters" and that he will travel from Fredericton, N.B. to Vancouver on Monday, with whistle stops in Montreal and Winnipeg before returning to his home riding in Montreal on election day.

At a rally in Toronto Dion urged New Democrats and Greens to vote Liberal - avoiding a three-way split of anti-government votes that would leave the Conservatives in office. The Liberals need the other two parties to block Harper's re-election, he said.

"This is only possible if we pull together."

"This election is a choice between lies and honesty," he told about 150 supporters gathered in a restaurant hall, referring to Harper's repeated claims the Liberals will raise taxes even though their platform promises across-the-board tax cuts through the Green Shift tax on fossil fuels.

"Stephen Harper built his campaign on a lie. He must lose on this lie."

Other lies the Liberals have cited during the campaign are the Conservative's false claim the Liberals would claw back the $100 monthly child care benefit when they are increasing it; and a false claim by the Conservatives that the Liberals would raise the GST, when Dion was on record for more than a year saying he would not do that.

The Liberal war room on Sunday challenged Harper's claim that he keeps his commitments, citing the government's flip-flop on taxation of income trusts, Harper's call for an election a year before the fixed election date, an alleged breach of the Atlantic accord, the lack of a promised national patient wait times guarantee and the appointment of an unelected senator.

Dion also professed to be single minded about winning the election, rather than casting ahead to a possible loss and what the Liberal party would want.

"I will say I am not a quitter but the only goal we have now in the next two days is to win this election," he said on CTV's Question Period program.

Responding to three friendly callers to a TV call-in show in Toronto, Dion vigorously defended his Green Shift plan to impose a tax on diesel and other fossil fuels and distribute the revenues in income tax cuts.

When asked what he has to be thankful for on Thanksgiving, Dion said his country, wife Janine Krieber and daughter Jeanne.

"I'm married to my wife and my country and she's nice enough, kind enough, to accept it," he added.

http://www.canada.com/edmontonjournal/news/decisioncanada/story.html?id=885cb067-c31e-4352-bd91-04355f01afdd

Saturday, 11 October 2008





Final Campaign Update in Newmarket-Aurora: 2 days before election day!!!


Well it has been a long 35 days. Nationally we were up, later we were down, today we are back up. It seems the unengaged electorate has been very volatile. Now after putting up all of those signs, knocking on all of those doors, dropping off all of that literature, making all of those phone calls, preparing for the debates, writing letters to the editor, handing out all of those flyers at the GO Station, attending Harper events, opening our offices, fundraising, preparing for debates and working on various events at the riding association level; the campaign is now basically over and 100% of the focus is now on getting out the vote.

The campaign in Newmarket-Aurora for the Conservatives was very strong. We identified a lot of supporters. He had a lot of sign requests and easily won the sign war. We were able to send out three promotional brochures. We had the support of national party as a targeted riding. We had great coverage from the mainstream media and decent coverage from the local media. Lois probably worked harder than any candidate in the country knocking on doors for two years. We had people calling, canvassing and volunteering their time with signs and in the office. We had a strong amount of poll captains and will have a scruiteneer at every polling station on Tuesday. Cabinet ministers have come and gone. We held our own in the debates and neutralized a Dion riding here. We had hoped to get the Prime Minister in Newmarket-Aurora, but were unable to find a suitable venue due to weddings a couple of Saturdays to go. Last night's rally in Mississauga was well attended and polling has us up in the 905 and in the riding.

Going into the holiday weekend, momentum is back with the Conservatives nationally. The focus is once again on Dion's leadership and his carbon tax proposal. This is good news for Conservatives as families sit down and discuss politics at dinner tables throughout the country. Positive economic news and a strong response to our modest and principled platform has also led to a Conservative rebound in the polls. In Newmarket-Aurora, we want the ballot box question to be "Does Newmarket want a seat at the government table". With Harper in the lead and expected to be Prime Minister 2 days before election day; we hope that will indeed factor into people's minds on election day.

We cannot let up because of the good polls. We cannot assume our vote is not needed. We cannot take the day off on election day. This fight returns Tuesday and the most important part of the campaign will take place - getting out the vote. Scruiteneers will be responsible for monitoring the polling stations and identifying who has voted. Callers will then be responsible to remind supporters who haven't voted to come out and vote. In the final hours the remainder of our identified supporters who have not voted will get a knock on their door. The national party targeted riding program, call centres and CIMs data base will all play a huge role in our E-day efforts. After the polls close and the votes are counted, volunteers are welcome to gather at Madsens to watch the results as they come in. The event will be a thank you event for team Lois and hopefully a victory party as well.

Tomorrow and Monday I will stop campaigning for Thanksgiving. I suspect all of the campaigns will do the same at least in terms of contacting voters. Tuesday it is in the hands of the people based on the dynamics of 308 battlegrounds across Canada. I hope all the voters and other campaigns enjoy their Thanksgiving holiday.

Based on how everything has gone over the course of the campaign, I will be quite surprised if Lois Brown isn't our next MP in a couple of days time. Vote Conservative...Vote Stephen Harper...Vote Lois Brown! A carbon tax is simply not worth the risk. Newmarket-Aurora needs a strong voice in Ottawa!

Thursday, 9 October 2008



Debates in Newmarket-Aurora

Local coverage here

We have now completed all five debates in the Newmarket-Aurora riding. Sacred Heart and Cardinal Carter hosted two high school debates on Friday and Tuesday morning. The Aurora Chamber of Commerce had a debate on Monday. Rogers taped and aired a debate moderated by John Taylor. Last night the Newmarket Chamber of Commerce had the final debate.

I think Lois Brown did an excellent job at the two Chamber debates in Aurora and Newmarket. Because she had to defend Harper's time in government, she came across as the incumbant. I did not see the high school debates because I have to work for a living. The Rogers debate was dominated by Dorian Baxter with Lois and Tim on the sidelines for the most part. Personally, I don't think the debates will have much impact on the outcome of this election. There were no major gaffes by Tim Jones or Lois Brown and I didn't see any real knock out blows. The two major candidates played it safe and stayed on party message. Mike Seaward, Glenn Hubbers, Ray Luff, and Dorian Baxter were wild cards in the debates. In Aurora there were no questions from the floor. In Newmarket there ended up being about half an hour of questions from the time. Issues discussed included: economy, manufacturing jobs, poverty, Afghanistan, Iraq, abortion, Carbon Tax, environmental plans, hand gun ban, Young offenders Act, municipalities and infrastructure, peaker power plant, taxes, spending, family court, child credit, democratic reform and leadership. In Newmarket, each candidate was allowed to ask another two questions. Lois asked Tim about the Liberal deal with the Green Party and also a question about his record as Mayor of Aurora. Tim asked Lois about Flaherty's "Ontario would be the last place to invest in" comment. Mike Seaward wasn't always on NDP message (why no mention of Dion abstaining or promoting Jack Layton's leadership) but ultimately represented himself well on the left. Glenn Hubbers has campaigned twice now for the Greens and represents his party in a strong way. Ray Luff did a good job of promoting the CHP and Dorian Baxter provided the comedy with an occasional good point here and there and an outrageous statement at other times. Tim said straight up that this is a two horse race in Newmarket-Aurora. Both candidates survived, and now the efforts will move to getting the vote out. I expect turnout to be lower than 2006 and 2004, but could be surprised.

Inside the debates, it is well known that the crowd is rarely undecided. Partisans from all sides fill the room, plant questions, distribute flyers and cheer wildly for their candidate. Signs flood the location. The candidates have spent hours preparing in advance trying to get their key points and media sound bytes into the debate at the right time. I got a good laugh when the Newmarket moderator opened up the floor to questions and the first two people lined up first at each of the two microphones were the Presidents of the Liberal and Conservative riding associations. Fighting four elections since 2004 and a municipal one in the same period; everyone gets to know the key people behind each of the campaigns. The real audience of course is the media covering the event. I did talk to one undecided voter and it was refreshing. Sometimes in campaign mode it is easy to get caught up in a partisan bubble and lose touch with the real swing voters. The crowd in Aurora (pictured above) was packed but the venue was small. Newmarket was about 75% full at Newmarket Theatre, but dropped signifcantly before the question portion after the class from St. Andrews left the building.

Because the debates fall very late in the campaign, media coverage will be brief. Rogers will air the previously taped debates periodically until E-day. The Auroran most likely will not have another issue until after the election or election day at the earliest. The Era Banner had an article on the Sacred Heart debate today and potentially will have another story about the Newmarket debates on the weekend or Tuesday. CBC Radio was also there last night as was SNAP!

Tomorrow Stephen Harper will be in the GTA for a major rally. According to the local debates, Tim Jones said Stephane Dion is coming into this riding before the election. After Saturday the campaigning is basically over, Thanksgiving dinners will take place and then it comes down to getting out the vote on election day. Shortly, this election will be in the hands of the people. For now this swing riding is in the hands of the national campaigns and the momentum going into election day just prior to the holiday weekend. Locally we have two more days of campaigning to go and one big day for translating all of that hard work into votes. We now have 5 days to go!
-Darryl

Toronto Star - Newmarket-Aurora preview

I enjoy the coverage this riding is getting from the national media. Newmarket-Aurora has been covered by Global, CTV, Globe and Mail, National Post, Toronto Star, Toronto Sun, CBC, City TV, CPAC and the Hill Times to name a few. It seems we still have some profile, despite the fact Belinda is not running this time. Below is some coverage from the Toronto Star. Strangely there has not been much coverage in our two local papers the Auroran or Era Banner. Rogers has done a great job covering the campaigns in York Region from a local perspective. This riding is a crucial GTA/905 riding that must be picked up if the Conservatives are expecting gains in this election. We will be working hard right until the end (minus Thanksgiving of course) and I expect we will pull off a close win on Tuesday.

-Darryl

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Newmarket-Aurora

Click here to read
candidate profiles for this riding.

More riding previews on our Election page.

(2006: Liberal Belinda Stronach won by 4,800 votes)

Oct 09, 2008 04:30 AM


Staff reporter

For the first time in the short history of the Newmarket-Aurora riding, auto parts heiress Belinda Stronach is not a candidate.

The riding has only been in existence for two federal elections, and Stronach won them both – in 2004 for the federal Conservatives and in 2006 for the Liberals. Her departure sets up what's expected to be a tight race between former Aurora mayor Tim Jones of the Liberals and businesswoman Lois Brown of the Conservatives.

Some commentators have suggested the upscale, educated riding will be a bellwether for the fortunes of either the Conservatives or the Liberals nationally.

And no one is predicting a decisive win by either party, both of which are running well-known candidates.

Issues and not star power are expected to make the difference with the absence of Stronach, who rankled many here by crossing the floor from the Conservatives to prop up the Liberals.

"If it wasn't for Belinda Stronach, I think the Conservatives would have won last time," says Henry Jacek, a professor of political science at McMaster University in Hamilton.

"I would say it's very vulnerable right now," he says.

Even with Stronach, the Liberals only beat Brown by 4,800-votes in 2006.

The margin was slimmer still in 2004, when Stronach edged the Liberals by just 689 votes.

Brown said she's comfortable that the leadership of Stephen Harper and the Tories' economic record will strike a chord here, with policies such as reducing the goods and services tax and providing breaks for first-time homebuyers.

"I think in this election we'll see Newmarket-Aurora return to its Conservative base," says Brown.

Jones was boosted by Liberal Leader Stéphane Dion's promise to spend $70 billion over 10 years to bolster municipal infrastructure in areas such as transit, sewage treatment and hospitals to help the rapidly expanding region.

"People should really know their municipality to be able to represent their municipality," says Jones, who has spent 28 years in local municipal politics.

Glenn Hubbers of the Green party says he would like to help energize people to make positive changes in their community.

"If they add their voices together, they can be effective at making real change," Hubbers says.

The addition of Green party leader Elizabeth May to the federal leaders' debate was a victory for voters seeking change, he adds.

New Democrat Mike Seaward, who has run provincially four times, sees the affluent riding getting nervous about the future.

Plant closures and a shakiness in the stock market are hard to ignore, even in a richer than average riding.

"I think the economy's quickly becoming the No. 1 issue," Seaward says.

OTHER CANDIDATES

Dorian Baxter, Progressive Conservative party

Ray Luff, Christian Heritage party

http://www.thestar.com/FederalElection/article/513588

Wednesday, 8 October 2008



Turn to Rogers TV on Tuesday, October 14th starting at 9pm for live federal election coverage

At some point during the election night coverage, I will be making an appearance on the program. I recommend the people of York Region watch the Rogers coverage on October 14 to get a local perspective on the federal election as well as analysis from a community perspective. Rogers has done a great job covering the election thus far. During the provincial election night coverage, the Conversation Cafe format was an excellent format and the coverage was very professional. I was glad to participate and look forward to taking part again in this election.
-Darryl

***

Information about the Broadcast:
Turn to Rogers TV on Tuesday, October 14th starting at 9pm for live federal election coverage with results, reports and insight on how the outcome of the election will affect York Region. Turn to Rogers TV on Tuesday, October 14th starting at 9pm for live federal election coverage with results, reports and insight on how the outcome of the election will affect York Region.

Hosts:

Fil Martino

Fil Martino is the Anchor and Producer for First Local and is a committed member of the Rogers TV team.

As a reporter for First Local Fil travelled to Africa and India with Christian Blind Mission International officials to document their work. She also produced many special news serials including: The Last Days of the Dump - Chronicling the life of the Keele Valley Landfill Site; CBMI Changing Lives and Into India: Vimala's Story; Life After SARS - A look at what life is like for EMS workers in York Region after SARS; and Answering the Call - Featuring the region's fire departments and how they are working to keep York Region safe.

Fil has received media awards for her coverage of crime stories and police programs in the region from both The OPP and York Regional Police. Fil enjoys volunteering her time to help out local charities including CBM in Whitchurch-Stouffville and The Canadian Cancer Society. Fil also enjoys reading and writing and has travelled throughout Canada, the U.S., Europe, Africa, India and Australia.

Fil graduated from The University of Toronto with a Bachelor of Arts in English Literature and from Seneca College with a Radio and Television Arts Diploma. She completed co-op placements at The Dini Petty Show and CKVR before beginning a placement at The Regional News on Classicom Cable in 1992.

John Taylor

John Taylor is currently host of Focal Point, Rogers TV’s issues based program. You may recognize John as he has appeared as a guest on several Rogers TV shows in the past.

John was elected to Municipal Office in 2006 when he became Regional Councillor for the Town of Newmarket, representing the Town on both Town of Newmarket Council and York Region Council. He is a member of numerous Regional and Municipal committees and is York Region’s appointee to the Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority and Canadian National Exhibition Boards of Directors. He is the Town’s appointee to the Newmarket Chamber of Commerce.

John was born and raised in Newmarket. He has always had a passion for his community. He is President of the Heart and Stroke Foundation York Region North; is a member of Habitat for Humanity’s Site Selection Committee; and the Fundraising Committee for Voices of Joy.

John has bachelor degrees in English and Education, a Masters degree in Canadian Studies and a Ph.D. in Education. He has been a high school teacher and has taught Educational Policy at U.B.C. and his work on First Nations education in Canada has been published. He has worked as an independent investment consultant and is a partner in a logistics and transportation company that employs more than 25 people. He has more than 20 years of political experience – he has worked as special assistant to the Minister of Community and Social Services and has worked on numerous election campaigns at the municipal, provincial, and federal levels. He was a provincial candidate for the riding of York North in 2003.

John is an avid reader and collects Canadian literature. Although he has traveled extensively, he enjoys the simplicity of walking and spending time at the cottage. John is married to Michelle and together they have a baby daughter, Addison.

Monday, 6 October 2008



Local Debates in Newmarket-Aurora

For those interested in the local debates between Lois Brown (Conservative), Tim Jones (Liberal), Mike Seaward (NDP), Glenn Hubbers (Green), Ray Luff (CHP) and Dorian Baxter (Progressive Canadian Party)
-Darryl


1.) Tonight - Aurora Chamber - Theatre Aurora, 150 Henderson Drive - candidates to be there about 6:15 pm - meet and greet people as they come in from 6:30 pm until 7pm when the event begins - debate ends at 9 pm - 9 pm to 9:30 pm meet and greet voters as they leave event.


2.) Tuesday October 7 - debate from 8:20 am until 9:50 am at Sacred Heart High School in Newmarket - 1 Crusader Way [Students Only]


3.) Tuesday October 7 - Rogers tv - candidates to arrive at 3:30 pm, taping from 4 pm to 5 pm. John Taylor will be the moderator.

The televised local debates will air at the times below on Rogers York Region Channel 10:

Newmarket/Aurora

7pm Tuesday, October 7

10am Wednesday, October 8

3pm Wednesday, October 8

2pm Thursday, October 9

5pm Sunday, October 1


4.) Wednesday October 8 - Newmarket Chamber of Commerce debate at the Newmarket Theatre (505 Pickering Cr.) - 4 pm random draw for display table - 6 pm doors open to the public - 6:55 pm candidates meet in the Green Room - 7 pm debate begins until 9 pm



Great article about Newmarket-Aurora in the Globe & Mail

I expect there are a lot of voters here who are thinking the same way as Ms. Susan Gray.
-Darryl

Tories see support growing in Toronto suburbs

From Monday's Globe and Mail

TORONTO — The suburban Toronto voters who swept Conservatives to power in Ontario in 1995 and sent them packing in 2003 are poised to play a familiar, influential role on federal election day next week.

In the fast-growing 905 region wrapped around the still-Liberal stronghold of Toronto, escalating voter worries about the economy and who can best manage the turbulence fuel federal Conservative hopes of electoral gains on Oct. 14.

"This could be a breakthrough election for us," said John Capobianco, a federal Tory adviser watching several tight races across the Toronto region. "905 seems to be a very positive part [of Ontario] for us."

If he is correct - and Liberal insiders concede almost certain defeat in several ridings with a half-dozen others too close to call - it will be because of voters like Newmarket resident Susan Gray.

Unaligned politically, the mother of two who runs a small business from her home says the economy is "top of mind" for her.

"This is a pretty scary time we are going into, particularly with what is happening in the United States," said Ms. Gray, still weighing her choices in Newmarket-Aurora, a sprawling suburban riding northeast of Toronto. "We need a strong leader and I don't see [Liberal Leader] Stéphane Dion as that leader for us."

In 2006, Ms. Gray backed Liberal MP Belinda Stronach, who edged her Tory opponent Lois Brown (running again for her party) by almost 5,000 votes. Ms. Stronach, who is not seeking re-election, was first elected as a Conservative in 2004 by a margin of barely 700 votes, having defeated Ms. Brown for the party nomination.

Even without the high-profile Ms. Stronach, the Liberals feel confident their candidate, former Aurora mayor Tim Jones, can edge out Ms. Brown.

But he cannot count for sure on former Stronach Liberal voters like Ms. Gray on election day.

"I was not a big fan of [Conservative Leader] Stephen Harper's when he came in but I think he has been doing a good job," she said.

The potential loss of women voters is of concern to Liberal strategists.

"We need to hold our female vote," said Judi Longfield, campaign director for Ontario. "It's very important because traditionally they have been with us."

Of 21 suburban ridings on the doorstep of Toronto, the Liberals held 17 seats at the start of the election campaign and the Conservatives the other four. That tally includes two ridings where incumbents crossed the floor in the last Parliament - former Conservative Garth Turner aims to hold on to his seat in Halton for the Liberals, while former Liberal Wajid Khan hopes to do the same for the Tories in Mississauga-Streetsville.

"We have seen a real migration of Liberal votes to the Conservatives," possibly enough to defeat Liberal incumbents in several ridings, including Halton, said pollster Peter Donolo of The Strategic Counsel.

Strategic Counsel's daily polling in the most contested 905 ridings shows Conservative candidates running four percentage points ahead of where they were in the 2006 election, while Liberal candidates are running 10 percentage points behind. The Conservatives are at 43 per cent; the Liberals at 30 per cent, the NDP at 19 per cent and the Greens at 7 per cent.

Because the polling samples are small, the margins of error are large: 6.6 per cent. But there have been clear trend lines since the campaign began showing the Conservative share of the vote slowly increasing while the Liberal share slowly declines - except for a small Conservative dip in the last few days.

Political analysts have never doubted the Conservatives would do well in 905, whose residents match to a T the party's target voters: either well-off with lots of children or on the edge of economically struggling with lots of children. The question is whether the Tories can do well enough in 905 and the neighbouring 519 area-code region to compensate for loss of support in Quebec.

With a report from Michael Valpy

Sunday, 5 October 2008



Weekend Era Banner Coverage of Newmarket-Aurora Race

There was some coverage of the race in Newmarket-Aurora in the weekend edition of the Era Banner. Below are a couple of articles, plus a great letter to the editor from Greg Rider of Aurora.
-Darryl

Stories in today's paper:
http://www.yrng.com/News/Newmarket/article/82256

http://www.yrng.com/News/Newmarket/article/82255


Letter to the editor:

Language skills not Dion’s problem
http://www.yrng.com/opinion/lettereditorial

Aurora letter to the editor - Oct 04, 2008

Re: Sad if language challenges sink Dion, column, Sept. 18

Columnist Bernie O’Neill tries to make the point that Stephane Dion is being rejected because of his poor mastery of the English language.

May I point out one of the longest-serving Canadian prime not only didn’t speak English very well, but was also accused of not speaking either official language very well. The man I speak of is, of course, Jean Chretien.

Mr. Chretien has always been much more comfortable in his mother tongue, French. He was always heavily dependent on his speechwriters and translators to capture the essence of his message for English-speaking Canadians.

As I recall, it didn’t seem to hamper him one bit.

I guess what I want to point out is that it may not be the messenger, but rather the message. Canadians have come to realize Mr. Dion is a man who doesn’t know which way to go on many important issues, the most important of which is his Green Shift plan.

Not too long ago, he said a carbon tax was a bad idea. On top of that, many prominent Liberal MPs found the policy difficult to understand and doubly difficult to sell to Canadians. Most taxpayers aren’t buying this proposal and see the Liberal plan for what it is — a tax grab at exactly the wrong time.

I will vote for a party that understands the economic realities Canada faces, not policies that would depress our economy and drain the pockets of taxpayers and businesses trying to prosper.

Greg Rider
Aurora



October 1, 2008 An Open Letter to the Residents of Thornhill.

I have been a Liberal ever since I arrived in Canada as a refugee from South Africa's dreaded apartheid regulations in 1962. I served the Liberal Party as a Director of Communications to a Liberal Leader of the Opposition and I¹ve known Peter Kent for decades. Today, I believe it is time for a change and I am urging fellow-Liberals in Thornhill to put their party affiliation aside and vote for Peter Kent on October 14.

I am doing this because I believe that Canada's Parliament and our Government desperately need Peter¹s creative insights and a powerful voice on national and international issues in this time of terrorist peril and the realignment of international loyalties. Canada and all other democracies are under seige; its defenders must not only have the will to fight back, to be armed with a precise knowledge of what the contest is about, and how it can be won.

If ever there was a candidate who deserved to be elected on merit, that person is Peter Kent. In his 40-year-career as a broadcast journalist, Peter, while working for the CBC, NBC and Global, gained profound knowledge of the politics of North America, the Middle East, Europe and Africa. He has met and come to know some of the most influential statesmen and opinion-makers in the world arena, and it is often in the inter-play between connected statesmen that real progress is achieved. He is thus uniquely equipped to help make Canada, a nation rich in human diversity and a bounty of natural resources, a considerably more significant participant in resolving the global issues of peace and security.

To be specific, unlike his Liberal opponent, the incumbent M.P., Susan Kadis, Peter Kent does not equivocate when it comes to supporting strong laws to deal with terrorism. I say this as a Liberal who was appalled when Ms. Kadis and other Liberals flip flopped in 2007 and refused to endorse a Government plan to make terrorism laws more effective even though it was a previous Liberal government that introduced these measures in the first place. I also share Peter's views that the State of Israel is a beacon of democracy in a sea of tyranny that needs Canada's outspoken support. Voting Liberal out of loyalty to Ms. Kadis is a logic that is stuck in the past. Doing so could result in an outcome where Thornhill, its residents and interests, will have no voice in Ottawa which is a scenario that is risky and clearly unacceptable.

In sum, if you vote for Peter Kent and send him to Ottawa, the people of this riding, indeed all Canadians, will have a new champion of justice -- justice at home and justice abroad, who will base his proposals for new solutions to old problems not on hearsay and anecdote but on real-life experience which was earned in the fields of combat in conflicts on three continents.

This is Peter¹s most important battle and I urge you leave the Liberals and support him with your vote.

Raymond Heard
rheard@rogers.com

***

Please visit www.peterkent.ca for more information on Peter Kent who is running for the Conservative Party in the riding of Thornhill

Saturday, 4 October 2008


Newmarket-Aurora Campaign Update: 10 days to go

As we work on the final weekend of campaigning, things are looking great in Newmarket-Aurora and for the Conservative Party nationally. The residents here now have a clear choice. A voice in government with a strong Conservative representative in Lois Brown. Otherwise we can vote Tim Jones who will be a voice in the next Liberal leadership race and risk this riding being shut out of a majority government. Frankly the Greens, NDP, CHP and Dorian Baxter have no chance of winning this race. Belinda Stronach is no longer on the ballot, and without her star power it is hard to see how the Liberals can hold this riding given the status of their brand and leader Mr. Dion.

This week we saw the French and English language debates. Duceppe was said to have won the French language debates with Dion showing well. Layton won the English debates with Harper showing strong and Dion finishing poorly in relation to his competition. Elizabeth May also did well meaning the left wing vote is fractured among the Greens, NDP and Liberals. Conservative support is holding steady with a stronger minority basically guaranteed. The push is now being made by Harper to win that majority by targeting potential winning ridings while Dion is fighting to maintain what he already holds. Time for major gaffes is running out and the old George Bush, abortion, Mike Harris and hidden agenda attack ads simply are not working. The Liberal platform has gone over like a lead balloon and Dion is too weak a leader to rally the progressive vote behind him strategically. There is also limited motivation to stop a Conservative majority after two and a half good years of government.

The final week is all about closing the deal. Pundits agree that Harper will remain Prime Minister with either a weak majority or strong minority. I suspect it will be a majority plus or minus ten seats. The media has now shifted its focus to the race for second place between the NDP and the Liberals. The real battles are now taking place in each of the local ridings such as mine.

In Newmarket-Aurora we are in a tight race, likely with a slight edge. Internal polls and prediction websites are showing a Conservative victory but getting out the vote and working hard until the 14th is what will make the difference here. Lois is one of the hardest working candidates in the country and she is motivated to fight for votes right up until the very last second before polls close.

In terms of signs, there is still a large lead for Lois Brown on residential properties. Conservative large signs are also present at virtually all intersections and high traffic areas. Tim Jones has his signs up as well, and now the NDP has finally gotten into the sign game. Mike Seaward has signs at major intersections that say Jack Layton. Dorian Baxter also has new signs that do not say Progressive Conservative. Glenn Hubbers seems to be in third place in this riding with the sign war. The Christian Heritage Party also has a few signs here and there. Sign advantage would be Conservative though.

At the doors, the response has been strong. I predict a low turnout as there does seem to be a lot of vote apathy. Of those that are engaged, Stephen Harper is the preferred choice in leader. Top issues I have seen at the doors include the economy, carbon tax/Stephane Dion, Afghanistan, Health care and the environment. Public transit/gridlock, justice and the sponsorship scandal also come up from time to time. The odd person is supporting the NDP or Greens, but in Newmarket-Aurora this is a head to head race between Conservative Lois Brown and Liberal Tim Jones. Our support seems to be growing and sign requests continue to flow in.

The media has been fair to us as well. Local media with the exception of Rogers has not covered much of this campaign. At best there is one article or letter to the editor in each edition of the papers here. Rogers is televising debates in all of York Region's ridings. Candidates in Newmarket-Aurora will film their debate on October 7. The debates next week will likely be the final chance to make an impression in the Era Banner an dAuroran before voters make their decision. We will see 4 more Era Banners and 2 more Auoran issues before voting day. The Rogers debate will be on demand and I believe in the Focal Point timeslot Tuesday and Wednesday at 8pm. National media has been friendly with coverage in the Hill Times, CTV/Globe and Mail, The Star, National Post and Toronto Sun. The CBC National segment I have filmed will air either on October 10 or on Thanksgiving Monday. Global Television was also here and CPAC as well.

All of our 3 brochures have now been created and mailed out. We had a strong fundraiser in the early part of the campaign but could always use more money. Lois is knocking on doors every night. Volunteers are looking to ID the vote through the phones, acting as poll captains and with the support of national party who are targeting this riding. We have identified a lot of supporters through our CIMs data base system and are optomistic about the 14th. Our website hits are growing, our email marketing is encouraging supporters to go to the advance polls where we are seeing high turnout, and Lois has been blogging at www.askloisbrown.ca. CBC riding talk for Newmarket-Aurora has been very active with the majority of people posting supporting the Conservatives. Lois Brown's Facebook group is still larger than Tim Jones. Electionprediction.org still has this one called for the Conservatives. Democraticspace.com is still calling it too close to call. Newmarket-Aurora is one of those ridings that will make a difference between a Stephen Harper majority or minority for the Conservatives.

Friday was the first debate at Cardinal Carter school. Nothing unexpected really took place there and I personally wasn't there to say objectively who won. This upcoming week will be crucial with a debate in Aurora on October 6, a Rogers and Sacred Heart High School debate on October 7 and the Newmarket debate on October 8. Lois has done well in debate preperation and I think she will win all three debates. I expect the usual attacks from the opposition again this time.

Harper will be in the GTA on October 10 for a massive rally. We are hoping he makes a stop in this riding. Keep your fingers crossed as I think it will guarantee a win for Lois Brown here. He had planned to come last weekend but we were not able to secure a venue large enough due to weddings that were booked at various banquet facilities.

With 10 days to go (and actually 7 when you factor E-day, Thanksgiving Monday and Thanksgiving Sunday) the remainder of our efforts will be identifying our support in the riding and getting out our vote on election day. Poll captains will finish their work and the E-day strategy will be formulated. Scruiteneers will then be assigned to each poll. Finally supporters will gather at Madsens to catch the results across the country and in this riding. The majority of our campaigning will stop on the Saturday of Thanksgiving weekend, as no one wants to be bothered during the holiday. The verdict will come on Tuesday October 14 after families hopefully have a chance to discuss politics over turkey dinner.

I am very confident Lois Brown is going to win the riding. If CNN was covering this race, it would already be safe to project Stephen Harper as the Prime Minister. I am going to go out on a limb and predict Liberals finish third to the NDP as many of their supporters will not bother to vote for Stephane Dion costing them key swing ridings.

The key at this point is to not let up and skate hard right up until the final horn of the third period. The lead is now 5-1 with 7 minutes left. We cannot afford to make any mistakes and we must play a strong defence. Victory is within reach and the Stanley Cup majority is ours for the taking. It is up to the volunteers in this riding to make sure Lois Brown goes to Ottawa with a hard final push in the twighlight of this campaign. It is up to Conservative volunteers across the country to make sure we elect a Conservative majority. After the next 10 days, hopefully we will have 4 years to relax without another federal election.

Thanks for reading...

Darryl

 

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