Showing posts with label Angus Reid. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Angus Reid. Show all posts

Sunday, 6 June 2010

Michael Ignatieff is to be commended for taking firm grasp of the coalition nettle, and refusing to let PM Harper frame coalition governments in Canada as illegitimate. During his recent visit to London, Harper seized on the opportunity to once again make public announcements about Canadian parliamentary conventions which are false, and not appropriate for a prime minister of a Westminster style democracy to make.


Harper's Three Frames

Harper has used three points in his (and his party's) framing of the biggest threat to a Conservative minority government after the next election.

Harper Frame 1: Losers don't get to govern

First, he has picked up on the framing used in Britain after the hung parliament was elected, that a coalition between the Labour Party and the Liberal-Democrats would be a "coalition of losers", and – in typical Harper fashion – put a false twist on the parliamentary convention by claiming that winners get to govern, and not losers:
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The result – A New Government


There is a way for the Liberals and NDP to remove Harper's Tories from power, cut the Tory seats from 143 down to 112, boost the combined LPC and NDP votes from 114 to 145, and govern Canada with 33 more seats than the Tories.

This would be just shy of the majority of 155 seats needed to govern without the support on an ad hoc basis of the Bloc – similar to the way Harper's Tories govern.
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Saturday, 5 June 2010

Kudos to RobSilver for laying out this stunning snippet of information gleaned from the bowels of the latest Angus Reid poll on coalitioning:

When the results are compared to voting intent, "merging" the Liberals and NDP is supported by a majority of Liberals (54 per cent), materially more popular than among NDP supporters (40 per cent support) (to put this number in perspective, when Angus Reid last asked about such a scenario in October of 2009, they got 43 per cent of Liberals in favour, and 50 per cent opposed); an even larger majority of Liberals (57 per cent) are in favour of "strategic candidate support" between the NDP and Liberals (compared to 44 per cent support amongst NDP supporters). Both parties are equally enthusiastic about a "shared power" scenario (72 per cent LIB, 70 per cent NDP).
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Friday, 4 June 2010


Here is one example of sloppy coalition talk (inexactness, lack of precision in the use of the correct terms, blurring different events into one through vagueness of articulation) from Scott Reid in the Globe & Mail:
Who would suggest the party should now sacrifice its identity in the face of an opponent who has three times proven unable to secure a majority mandate? A Prime Minister who has rarely been able to rally more than 34 per cent of public opinion to his side?

And here's another one, from Steve Janke in Angry in the Great White North:
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Wednesday, 2 June 2010

A very interesting analysis by Angus Reid in their May 31 poll of voters' intentions should the Liberal Party and the NDP enter into a formal coalition.

Angus Reid are to be congratulated for departing from the usual Who Ya Gonna Vote For? analysis by exploring the attraction of a coalition under the leadership of one of three men: Ignatieff, Rae and Layton.

Before we dive into the results, a few cautions.

The poll results we have from Angus Reid do not show that voters were asked supplementary questions, which could well have influenced the preferences of respondents.
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